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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Jamall Emmers won · U-DEC R3
Elo1517
Elo1396
Vince Cachero

Jamall EmmersvsVince CacheroUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · Saturday, August 1, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jamall Emmers won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Jamall Emmers wins(65.6%)

Actual result: Jamall Emmers wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jamall Emmers at -360 American odds

+$28 profit

$128 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jamall Emmers has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Jamall Emmers has 63pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Jamall Emmers has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jamall Emmers
Red Corner
VS
Vince Cachero
Blue Corner
-360
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+265
(27%)
1517
Elo
1396
37
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'6"
187.96 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jamall EmmersW2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Jack Jenkins · Jun 23
W
KOvs Dennis Buzukja · Nov 23
L
KOvs Nate Landwehr · Mar 24
W
KOvs Gabriel Miranda · Mar 25
W
vs Hyder Amil · Nov 25
latest
Vince Cachero
oldest →
L
KOvs Ronnie Lawrence · Feb 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jamall EmmersMetricVince Cachero
5.10
Strikes / min
3.29
3.92
Strikes absorbed / min
6.51
57%
Strike defense
43%
2.59
TDs / 15 min
0.00
81%
Takedown defense
18%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.18Δ 4.40 — meaningful gap-3.22

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1485 vs 1500Strikes5.0 vs 0.0Takedowns1.4 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-1.0 vs 0.0
Jamall EmmersVince Cachero

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
Jamall Emmers(9 fights)Vince Cachero(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +120.9|Blue -120.9
Recent Form
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score
Red -49.2|Blue +49.2
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jamall EmmersTargetVince Cachero

By target zone

58
41% acc · 56%
Head
58
46% acc · 76%
37
84% acc · 36%
Body
10
67% acc · 13%
8
89% acc · 8%
Leg
8
80% acc · 11%

By position

78
48% acc · 76%
Distance
62
47% acc · 82%
23
77% acc · 22%
Clinch
11
65% acc · 14%
2
100% acc · 2%
Ground
3
100% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Jamall Emmers rounds
0
even
0
Vince Cachero rounds
Round 1Jamall Emmers edged it
Sig. strikes49
Takedowns1
Control0:49
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:15Control
Round 2Jamall Emmers edged it
Sig. strikes43
Takedowns2
Control1:27
39Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Round 3Jamall Emmers edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns2
Control3:31
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:12Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
103 / 196
Sig Strikes
76 / 152
50.7%
Sig Str %
49.7%
113 / 209
Total Strikes
121 / 201
5 / 7
TDs
0 / 2
83.3%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
5:47
Ctrl Time
0:28

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Vince Cachero28 / 5937 / 690 / 20
1Jamall Emmers49 / 8549 / 851 / 10
2Vince Cachero39 / 7553 / 910 / 00
2Jamall Emmers43 / 8850 / 972 / 20
3Vince Cachero9 / 1831 / 410 / 00
3Jamall Emmers11 / 2314 / 272 / 40

Jamall Emmers

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights9

Vince Cachero

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights2