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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Pat Sabatini won · SUB R1

Elo1517

Elo1546

Jamall EmmersvsPat SabatiniUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · Saturday, August 28, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Pat Sabatini won

SUB · Round 1 · 1:53

Style matchupJamall Emmers: WrestlervsPat Sabatini: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Pat Sabatini wins(60.9%)

Actual result: Pat Sabatini wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Pat Sabatini at +130 American odds

+$130 profit

$230 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Pat Sabatini enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jamall Emmers has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Jamall Emmers has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jamall Emmers

Red Corner

Pat Sabatini

Blue Corner

-150

(60%)

Vegas Odds

+130

(43%)

1517

Elo

1546

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'8"

187.96 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jamall EmmersW2 streak

oldest →

vs Jack Jenkins · Jun 23

KOvs Dennis Buzukja · Nov 23

KOvs Nate Landwehr · Mar 24

KOvs Gabriel Miranda · Mar 25

vs Hyder Amil · Nov 25

latest

Pat SabatiniW4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Diego Lopes · Nov 23

SUBvs Jonathan Pearce · Oct 24

vs Joanderson Brito · Apr 25

vs Chepe Mariscal · Nov 25

DECvs William Gomis · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jamall EmmersMetricPat Sabatini

5.10

Strikes / min

1.69

3.92

Strikes absorbed / min

1.16

57%

Strike defense

54%

2.59

TDs / 15 min

4.27

81%

Takedown defense

50%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

1.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.18evenly matched on net striking+0.53

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jamall EmmersPat Sabatini

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jamall Emmers(9 fights)Pat Sabatini(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -28.9|Blue +28.9

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +266.0|Blue -266.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jamall EmmersTargetPat Sabatini

By target zone

43% acc · 30%

Head

11% acc · 100%

100% acc · 60%

Body

100% acc · 10%

Leg

By position

67% acc · 80%

Distance

11% acc · 100%

Clinch

100% acc · 20%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jamall Emmers rounds

even

Pat Sabatini rounds

Round 1Jamall Emmers edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:49

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

10 / 14

Sig Strikes

1 / 9

71%

Sig Str %

11%

12 / 17

Total Strikes

1 / 9

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:49

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Pat Sabatini	1 / 9	1 / 9	0 / 1	2
1	Jamall Emmers	10 / 14	12 / 17	0 / 0	1

Jamall Emmers

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights9

Pat Sabatini

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights11