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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Jamall Emmers won · U-DEC R3
Elo1517
Elo1495

Jamall EmmersvsKhusein AskhabovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · Saturday, February 18, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jamall Emmers won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Jamall Emmers wins(64.5%)

Actual result: Jamall Emmers wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jamall Emmers at +155 American odds

+$155 profit

$255 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jamall Emmers has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Jamall Emmers has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jamall Emmers
Red Corner
VS
Khusein Askhabov
Blue Corner
+155
(39%)
Vegas Odds
-180
(64%)
1517
Elo
1495
37
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'8"
187.96 cm
Reach
175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jamall EmmersW2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Jack Jenkins · Jun 23
W
KOvs Dennis Buzukja · Nov 23
L
KOvs Nate Landwehr · Mar 24
W
KOvs Gabriel Miranda · Mar 25
W
vs Hyder Amil · Nov 25
latest
Khusein AskhabovNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jamall EmmersMetricKhusein Askhabov
5.10
Strikes / min
2.00
3.92
Strikes absorbed / min
4.13
57%
Strike defense
56%
2.59
TDs / 15 min
0.00
81%
Takedown defense
66%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.18Δ 3.31 — meaningful gap-2.13

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1486 vs 1500Strikes5.3 vs 2.0Takedowns1.8 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.20 vs 0.00Form-0.6 vs 0.0
Jamall EmmersKhusein Askhabov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
Jamall Emmers(9 fights)Khusein Askhabov(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +22.0|Blue -22.0
Recent Form
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score
Red -49.4|Blue +49.4
Grappler Score
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jamall EmmersTargetKhusein Askhabov

By target zone

27
33% acc · 44%
Head
15
17% acc · 50%
18
69% acc · 29%
Body
7
78% acc · 23%
17
47% acc · 27%
Leg
8
47% acc · 27%

By position

44
37% acc · 71%
Distance
25
24% acc · 83%
10
83% acc · 16%
Clinch
5
50% acc · 17%
8
62% acc · 13%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Jamall Emmers rounds
0
even
0
Khusein Askhabov rounds
Round 1Jamall Emmers edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:01
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:28Control
Round 2Jamall Emmers edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control1:19
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Jamall Emmers edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control3:25
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:30Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
62 / 144
Sig Strikes
30 / 114
43%
Sig Str %
26.3%
79 / 170
Total Strikes
40 / 127
1 / 3
TDs
0 / 6
33.3%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
2
4:45
Ctrl Time
0:58

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Khusein Askhabov14 / 4917 / 530 / 10
1Jamall Emmers24 / 5524 / 570 / 10
2Khusein Askhabov13 / 5418 / 600 / 30
2Jamall Emmers27 / 6534 / 730 / 10
3Khusein Askhabov3 / 115 / 140 / 20
3Jamall Emmers11 / 2421 / 401 / 10

Jamall Emmers

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights9

Khusein Askhabov

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights1