Featherweight

3 Rounds

Jack Jenkins won · S-DEC R3

Elo1517

Elo1509

Jamall EmmersvsJack JenkinsUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · Saturday, June 24, 2023Jacksonville, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Jack Jenkins won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJamall Emmers: WrestlervsJack Jenkins: Elusive striker

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Jack Jenkins wins(54.8%)

Actual result: Jack Jenkins wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jack Jenkins at +168 American odds

+$168 profit

$268 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Jack Jenkins (52.9%).
Jamall Emmers has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jamall Emmers

Red Corner

Jack Jenkins

Blue Corner

-200

(67%)

Vegas Odds

+168

(37%)

1517

Elo

1509

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'10"

Height

5'7"

187.96 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jamall EmmersW2 streak

oldest →

vs Khusein Askhabov · Feb 23

KOvs Dennis Buzukja · Nov 23

KOvs Nate Landwehr · Mar 24

KOvs Gabriel Miranda · Mar 25

vs Hyder Amil · Nov 25

latest

Jack Jenkins

oldest →

vs Don Shainis · Feb 23

KOvs Chepe Mariscal · Sep 23

KOvs Herbert Burns · Aug 24

SUBvs Gabriel Santos · Feb 25

vs Ramon Taveras · Sep 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jamall EmmersMetricJack Jenkins

5.10

Strikes / min

4.48

3.92

Strikes absorbed / min

2.95

57%

Strike defense

59%

2.59

TDs / 15 min

1.98

81%

Takedown defense

71%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.18evenly matched on net striking+1.53

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jamall EmmersJack Jenkins

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jamall Emmers(9 fights)Jack Jenkins(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +7.8|Blue -7.8

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -7.0|Blue +7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jamall EmmersTargetJack Jenkins

By target zone

27% acc · 46%

Head

39% acc · 44%

47% acc · 32%

Body

67% acc · 24%

68% acc · 23%

Leg

61% acc · 32%

By position

35% acc · 89%

Distance

48% acc · 90%

33% acc · 2%

Clinch

50% acc · 2%

83% acc · 9%

Ground

71% acc · 8%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jamall Emmers rounds

even

Jack Jenkins rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Jack Jenkins edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns0

Control0:08

31Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:10Control

Round 3Jamall Emmers edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns1

Control4:09

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

Fight Stats

Totals

57 / 155

Sig Strikes

59 / 119

40.7%

Sig Str %

48%

76 / 185

Total Strikes

85 / 154

1 / 6

TDs

1 / 1

10%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

4:17

Ctrl Time

0:15

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jack Jenkins	20 / 40	20 / 40	0 / 0
1	Jamall Emmers	21 / 69	21 / 69	0 / 1
2	Jack Jenkins	31 / 61	31 / 61	1 / 1
2	Jamall Emmers	28 / 71	29 / 73	0 / 0
3	Jack Jenkins	8 / 18	34 / 53	0 / 0
3	Jamall Emmers	8 / 15	26 / 43	1 / 5

Jamall Emmers

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights9

Jack Jenkins

StanceSwitch

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights6