Featherweight

3 Rounds

Jamall Emmers won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1517

Elo1482

Jamall EmmersvsGabriel MirandaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · Saturday, March 29, 2025Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico

Official fight result

Jamall Emmers won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:06

Style matchupJamall Emmers: WrestlervsGabriel Miranda: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Jamall Emmers wins(57.4%)

Actual result: Jamall Emmers wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jamall Emmers at -480 American odds

+$21 profit

$121 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jamall Emmers has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Jamall Emmers has 81pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jamall Emmers

Red Corner

Gabriel Miranda

Blue Corner

-480

(83%)

Vegas Odds

+370

(21%)

1517

Elo

1482

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'11"

187.96 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jamall Emmers

oldest →

vs Khusein Askhabov · Feb 23

vs Jack Jenkins · Jun 23

KOvs Dennis Buzukja · Nov 23

KOvs Nate Landwehr · Mar 24

vs Hyder Amil · Nov 25

latest

Gabriel Miranda

oldest →

KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Sep 22

SUBvs Shane Young · Sep 23

KOvs Morgan Charriere · Sep 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jamall EmmersMetricGabriel Miranda

5.10

Strikes / min

3.23

3.92

Strikes absorbed / min

6.01

57%

Strike defense

37%

2.59

TDs / 15 min

4.75

81%

Takedown defense

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

1.90

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.18Δ 3.96 — meaningful gap-2.78

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jamall EmmersGabriel Miranda

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jamall Emmers(9 fights)Gabriel Miranda(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +35.7|Blue -35.7

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Layoff

Red +182.0|Blue -182.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jamall EmmersTargetGabriel Miranda

By target zone

53% acc · 73%

Head

42% acc · 56%

100% acc · 21%

Body

71% acc · 28%

100% acc · 6%

Leg

75% acc · 17%

By position

55% acc · 79%

Distance

50% acc · 89%

100% acc · 9%

Clinch

67% acc · 11%

100% acc · 12%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jamall Emmers rounds

even

Gabriel Miranda rounds

Round 1Jamall Emmers edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns0

Control0:49

Knockdowns2

18Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:25Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

33 / 54

Sig Strikes

18 / 35

61%

Sig Str %

51%

35 / 56

Total Strikes

20 / 37

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 4

—

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:49

Ctrl Time

1:25

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Gabriel Miranda	18 / 35	20 / 37	2 / 4	1
1	Jamall Emmers	33 / 54	35 / 56	0 / 0	0

Jamall Emmers

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights9

Gabriel Miranda

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights4