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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Jamahal Hill won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1485

Elo1385

Jamahal HillvsKlidson AbreuUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · Saturday, May 30, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jamahal Hill won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:51

Model Prediction: Jamahal Hill wins(66.8%)

Actual result: Jamahal Hill wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jamahal Hill at -117 American odds

+$85 profit

$185 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jamahal Hill enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Klidson Abreu has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Jamahal Hill (53.5%).
Jamahal Hill has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jamahal Hill

Red Corner

Klidson Abreu

Blue Corner

-117

(54%)

Vegas Odds

-103

(51%)

1485

Elo

1385

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'4"

Height

6'0"

200.66 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jamahal HillL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Thiago Santos · Aug 22

vs Glover Teixeira · Jan 23

KOvs Alex Pereira · Apr 24

KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Jan 25

vs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Jun 25

latest

Klidson Abreu

oldest →

vs Magomed Ankalaev · Feb 19

vs Sam Alvey · Jul 19

vs Shamil Gamzatov · Nov 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jamahal HillMetricKlidson Abreu

6.19

Strikes / min

2.05

4.03

Strikes absorbed / min

2.90

44%

Strike defense

55%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.64

73%

Takedown defense

80%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.16Δ 3.01 — meaningful gap-0.85

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jamahal HillKlidson Abreu

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jamahal Hill(10 fights)Klidson Abreu(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +100.9|Blue -100.9

Recent Form

Red +1.3|Blue -1.3

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -77.0|Blue +77.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jamahal HillTargetKlidson Abreu

By target zone

47% acc · 64%

Head

0% acc

100% acc · 29%

Body

100% acc · 20%

100% acc · 7%

Leg

100% acc · 80%

By position

50% acc · 64%

Distance

67% acc · 80%

100% acc · 14%

Clinch

100% acc · 20%

75% acc · 21%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jamahal Hill rounds

even

Klidson Abreu rounds

Round 1Jamahal Hill edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:02

Knockdowns2

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

14 / 24

Sig Strikes

5 / 7

58%

Sig Str %

71%

14 / 24

Total Strikes

5 / 7

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:02

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Klidson Abreu	5 / 7	5 / 7	0 / 0	0
1	Jamahal Hill	14 / 24	14 / 24	0 / 0	0

Jamahal Hill

StanceSouthpaw

Height76.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights11

Klidson Abreu

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights4