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Light Heavyweight

5 Rounds

Khalil Rountree Jr. won · U-DEC R5

Elo1485

Elo1502

Jamahal HillvsKhalil Rountree Jr.UFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · Saturday, June 21, 2025Baku, Azerbaijan

Official fight result

Khalil Rountree Jr. won

U-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Style matchupJamahal Hill: Pressure fightervsKhalil Rountree Jr.: Striker

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Jamahal Hill wins(64.7%)

Actual result: Khalil Rountree Jr. wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jamahal Hill at -118 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jamahal Hill is a KO finisher (71% of wins). Khalil Rountree Jr. has lost 57% of fights by KO.
Khalil Rountree Jr. is a KO finisher (70% of wins). Jamahal Hill has lost 75% of fights by KO.
Jamahal Hill has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jamahal Hill

Red Corner

Khalil Rountree Jr.

Blue Corner

-118

(54%)

Vegas Odds

+100

(50%)

1485

Elo

1502

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

6'4"

Height

6'1"

200.66 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jamahal HillL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Johnny Walker · Feb 22

KOvs Thiago Santos · Aug 22

vs Glover Teixeira · Jan 23

KOvs Alex Pereira · Apr 24

KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Jan 25

latest

Khalil Rountree Jr.L2 streak

oldest →

vs Dustin Jacoby · Oct 22

KOvs Chris Daukaus · Aug 23

KOvs Anthony Smith · Dec 23

KOvs Alex Pereira · Oct 24

KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Oct 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jamahal HillMetricKhalil Rountree Jr.

6.19

Strikes / min

3.88

4.03

Strikes absorbed / min

4.33

44%

Strike defense

49%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.00

73%

Takedown defense

58%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.16Δ 2.61 — meaningful gap-0.45

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jamahal HillKhalil Rountree Jr.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jamahal Hill(10 fights)Khalil Rountree Jr.(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -17.0|Blue +17.0

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -105.0|Blue +105.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jamahal HillTargetKhalil Rountree Jr.

By target zone

33% acc · 68%

Head

33% acc · 29%

58% acc · 10%

Body

78% acc · 41%

83% acc · 22%

Leg

83% acc · 29%

By position

40% acc · 99%

Distance

102

56% acc · 100%

0% acc

Clinch

100% acc · 1%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jamahal Hill rounds

even

Khalil Rountree Jr. rounds

Round 1Khalil Rountree Jr. edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:00

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Khalil Rountree Jr. edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

1Knockdowns

Round 4Khalil Rountree Jr. edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 5Khalil Rountree Jr. edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:00

37Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

69 / 172

Sig Strikes

102 / 181

37.8%

Sig Str %

54.6%

70 / 173

Total Strikes

102 / 181

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jamahal Hill	14 / 30	14 / 30	0 / 0
1	Khalil Rountree Jr.	17 / 30	17 / 30	0 / 0
2	Khalil Rountree Jr.	15 / 35	15 / 35	0 / 0
2	Jamahal Hill	15 / 33	16 / 34	0 / 0
3	Jamahal Hill	6 / 25	6 / 25	0 / 0
3	Khalil Rountree Jr.	15 / 29	15 / 29	0 / 0
4	Khalil Rountree Jr.	18 / 30	18 / 30	0 / 0
4	Jamahal Hill	8 / 28	8 / 28	0 / 0
5	Khalil Rountree Jr.	37 / 57	37 / 57	0 / 0
5	Jamahal Hill	26 / 56	26 / 56	0 / 0

Jamahal Hill

StanceSouthpaw

Height76.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights11

Khalil Rountree Jr.

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights17