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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Jamahal Hill won · U-DEC R3

Elo1485

Elo1380

Jamahal HillvsDarko StosicUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · Saturday, January 25, 2020Raleigh, North Carolina, USA

Official fight result

Jamahal Hill won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJamahal Hill: Pressure fightervsDarko Stosic: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Jamahal Hill wins(51.4%)

Actual result: Jamahal Hill wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jamahal Hill at -135 American odds

+$74 profit

$174 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jamahal Hill enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Darko Stosic is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Jamahal Hill has lost 75% of fights by KO.
Darko Stosic has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Jamahal Hill (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Jamahal Hill

Red Corner

Darko Stosic

Blue Corner

-135

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+115

(47%)

1485

Elo

1380

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'4"

Height

6'0"

200.66 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jamahal HillL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Thiago Santos · Aug 22

vs Glover Teixeira · Jan 23

KOvs Alex Pereira · Apr 24

KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Jan 25

vs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Jun 25

latest

Darko StosicL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Jeremy Kimball · Jul 18

vs Devin Clark · Jun 19

vs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Aug 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jamahal HillMetricDarko Stosic

6.19

Strikes / min

2.61

4.03

Strikes absorbed / min

4.04

44%

Strike defense

58%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

3.42

73%

Takedown defense

83%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.16Δ 3.59 — meaningful gap-1.43

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jamahal HillDarko Stosic

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jamahal Hill(10 fights)Darko Stosic(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +105.4|Blue -105.4

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red +49.6|Blue -49.6

Grappler Score

Red +49.7|Blue -49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jamahal HillTargetDarko Stosic

By target zone

29% acc · 49%

Head

36% acc · 65%

75% acc · 40%

Body

43% acc · 10%

92% acc · 12%

Leg

89% acc · 26%

By position

101

44% acc · 100%

Distance

42% acc · 81%

0% acc

Clinch

0% acc

Ground

50% acc · 19%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jamahal Hill rounds

even

Darko Stosic rounds

Round 1Jamahal Hill edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:02

13Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:20Control

Round 2Jamahal Hill edged it

Sig. strikes54

Takedowns0

Control0:00

8Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:05Control

Round 3Darko Stosic edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:00

10Sig. strikes

4Takedowns

1:53Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

101 / 233

Sig Strikes

31 / 72

42.3%

Sig Str %

43%

102 / 236

Total Strikes

32 / 81

0 / 0

TDs

6 / 9

—

TD %

71%

Sub Att

Rev

0:02

Ctrl Time

2:18

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Darko Stosic	13 / 29	13 / 30	1 / 1
1	Jamahal Hill	27 / 64	27 / 64	0 / 0
2	Darko Stosic	8 / 24	8 / 24	1 / 3
2	Jamahal Hill	54 / 119	54 / 119	0 / 0
3	Darko Stosic	10 / 19	11 / 27	4 / 5
3	Jamahal Hill	20 / 50	21 / 53	0 / 0

Jamahal Hill

StanceSouthpaw

Height76.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights11

Darko Stosic

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights4