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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Jalin Turner won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1507

Elo1568

Jalin TurnervsKing GreenUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · Saturday, December 2, 2023Austin, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Jalin Turner won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:49

Style matchupJalin Turner: Pressure fightervsKing Green: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: King Green wins(56.5%)

Actual result: Jalin Turner wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

King Green enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jalin Turner is a KO finisher (63% of wins). King Green has lost 67% of fights by KO.
King Green has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Jalin Turner (53.5%).
Jalin Turner has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jalin Turner

Red Corner

King Green

Blue Corner

-160

(62%)

Vegas Odds

—

1507

Elo

1568

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

5'10"

195.58 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jalin Turner

oldest →

vs Mateusz Gamrot · Mar 23

vs Dan Hooker · Jul 23

KOvs Renato Moicano · Apr 24

SUBvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Mar 25

KOvs Edson Barboza · Dec 25

latest

King GreenW4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Mauricio Ruffy · Mar 25

vs Lance Gibson Jr. · Dec 25

KOvs Daniel Zellhuber · Feb 26

SUBvs Jeremy Stephens · May 26

KOvs Terrance McKinney · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jalin TurnerMetricKing Green

5.79

Strikes / min

6.46

4.54

Strikes absorbed / min

3.55

41%

Strike defense

62%

0.75

TDs / 15 min

1.33

75%

Takedown defense

72%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.25Δ 1.66 — meaningful gap+2.91

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jalin TurnerKing Green

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jalin Turner(10 fights)King Green(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -61.4|Blue +61.4

Recent Form

Red -1.4|Blue +1.4

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +91.0|Blue -91.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jalin TurnerTargetKing Green

By target zone

54% acc · 79%

Head

36% acc · 33%

50% acc · 6%

Body

75% acc · 20%

63% acc · 15%

Leg

88% acc · 47%

By position

44% acc · 55%

Distance

58% acc · 93%

Clinch

50% acc · 7%

79% acc · 45%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jalin Turner rounds

even

King Green rounds

Round 1Jalin Turner edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns0

Control0:12

Knockdowns1

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

33 / 60

Sig Strikes

15 / 26

55%

Sig Str %

57%

33 / 60

Total Strikes

15 / 26

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:12

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	King Green	15 / 26	15 / 26	0 / 0	0
1	Jalin Turner	33 / 60	33 / 60	0 / 0	0

Jalin Turner

StanceSouthpaw

Height75.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights14

King Green

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights10