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Elo1507
Jalin Turner editorial illustration
Elo1531
Kaue Fernandes editorial illustration

Jalin TurnervsKaue FernandesUFC Prediction

UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · Saturday, August 15, 2026Philadelphia, USA

Fight begins in
Style matchupJalin Turner: Pressure fightervsKaue Fernandes: Elusive striker

The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Kaue Fernandes enters on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Kaue Fernandes has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Jalin Turner has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jalin Turner
Red Corner
VS
Kaue Fernandes
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1507
Elo
1531
31
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
5'9"
195.58 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jalin Turner
oldest →
L
vs Dan Hooker · Jul 23
W
KOvs King Green · Dec 23
L
KOvs Renato Moicano · Apr 24
L
SUBvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Mar 25
W
KOvs Edson Barboza · Dec 25
latest
Kaue FernandesW3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Marc Diakiese · Nov 23
W
KOvs Mohammad Yahya · Aug 24
W
vs Guram Kutateladze · Mar 25
W
KOvs Harry Hardwick · Sep 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jalin TurnerMetricKaue Fernandes
5.79
Strikes / min
4.28
4.54
Strikes absorbed / min
1.42
41%
Strike defense
62%
0.75
TDs / 15 min
1.18
75%
Takedown defense
76%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.25Δ 1.61 — meaningful gap+2.86
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801498151515331550← oldermost recent →
Jalin Turner(10 fights)Kaue Fernandes(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -24.4|Blue +24.4
Recent Form
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -91.0|Blue +91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.

KO / TKO75%

Historical win share: Kaue Fernandes earned 67% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission25%

Historical win share: Jalin Turner earned 38% of wins by submission.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Jalin Turner

StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights14

Kaue Fernandes

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4