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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Jalin Turner won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1507

Elo1490

Jalin TurnervsJamie MullarkeyUFC Prediction Result

UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · Saturday, March 5, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jalin Turner won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 0:46

Style matchupJalin Turner: Pressure fightervsJamie Mullarkey: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Jalin Turner wins(60.5%)

Actual result: Jalin Turner wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jalin Turner at -160 American odds

+$63 profit

$163 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jalin Turner is a KO finisher (63% of wins). Jamie Mullarkey has lost 57% of fights by KO.
Jamie Mullarkey has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Jalin Turner (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Jalin Turner

Red Corner

Jamie Mullarkey

Blue Corner

-160

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+140

(42%)

1507

Elo

1490

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'0"

195.58 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jalin Turner

oldest →

vs Dan Hooker · Jul 23

KOvs King Green · Dec 23

KOvs Renato Moicano · Apr 24

SUBvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Mar 25

KOvs Edson Barboza · Dec 25

latest

Jamie Mullarkey

oldest →

vs John Makdessi · Sep 23

KOvs Nasrat Haqparast · Dec 23

KOvs Mauricio Ruffy · May 24

vs Rolando Bedoya · Sep 25

SUBvs Quillan Salkilld · Jan 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jalin TurnerMetricJamie Mullarkey

5.79

Strikes / min

4.10

4.54

Strikes absorbed / min

4.28

41%

Strike defense

54%

0.75

TDs / 15 min

2.46

75%

Takedown defense

70%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.25Δ 1.43 — meaningful gap-0.18

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jalin TurnerJamie Mullarkey

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jalin Turner(10 fights)Jamie Mullarkey(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +16.9|Blue -16.9

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +7.0|Blue -7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jalin TurnerTargetJamie Mullarkey

By target zone

40% acc · 65%

Head

54% acc · 63%

74% acc · 33%

Body

58% acc · 20%

50% acc · 2%

Leg

100% acc · 17%

By position

46% acc · 85%

Distance

57% acc · 86%

80% acc · 8%

Clinch

100% acc · 6%

40% acc · 8%

Ground

75% acc · 9%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jalin Turner rounds

even

Jamie Mullarkey rounds

Round 1Jalin Turner edged it

Sig. strikes39

Takedowns1

Control0:00

33Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:31Control

Round 2Jalin Turner edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:02

Knockdowns1

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

52 / 111

Sig Strikes

35 / 59

49%

Sig Str %

47.5%

53 / 112

Total Strikes

45 / 70

1 / 1

TDs

1 / 3

100%

TD %

33%

Sub Att

Rev

0:02

Ctrl Time

1:31

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jamie Mullarkey	33 / 53	43 / 64	1 / 3
1	Jalin Turner	39 / 87	40 / 88	1 / 1
2	Jamie Mullarkey	2 / 6	2 / 6	0 / 0
2	Jalin Turner	13 / 24	13 / 24	0 / 0

Jalin Turner

StanceSouthpaw

Height75.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights14

Jamie Mullarkey

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights13