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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Dan Hooker won · S-DEC R3

Elo1507

Elo1484

Jalin TurnervsDan HookerUFC Prediction Result

UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · Saturday, July 8, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Dan Hooker won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJalin Turner: Pressure fightervsDan Hooker: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Jalin Turner wins(55.8%)

Actual result: Dan Hooker wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Dan Hooker (54.1%).

Tale of the Tape

Jalin Turner

Red Corner

Dan Hooker

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1507

Elo

1484

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Switch

6'3"

Height

6'0"

195.58 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jalin Turner

oldest →

vs Mateusz Gamrot · Mar 23

KOvs King Green · Dec 23

KOvs Renato Moicano · Apr 24

SUBvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Mar 25

KOvs Edson Barboza · Dec 25

latest

Dan HookerL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Arnold Allen · Mar 22

KOvs Claudio Puelles · Nov 22

vs Mateusz Gamrot · Aug 24

SUBvs Arman Tsarukyan · Nov 25

KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Jan 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jalin TurnerMetricDan Hooker

5.79

Strikes / min

4.82

4.54

Strikes absorbed / min

4.94

41%

Strike defense

49%

0.75

TDs / 15 min

0.68

75%

Takedown defense

77%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.25Δ 1.37 — meaningful gap-0.12

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jalin TurnerDan Hooker

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jalin Turner(10 fights)Dan Hooker(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +22.8|Blue -22.8

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -112.0|Blue +112.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jalin TurnerTargetDan Hooker

By target zone

49% acc · 63%

Head

55% acc · 62%

81% acc · 30%

Body

78% acc · 20%

58% acc · 7%

Leg

88% acc · 18%

By position

51% acc · 78%

Distance

100

64% acc · 80%

86% acc · 18%

Clinch

61% acc · 15%

100% acc · 4%

Ground

67% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jalin Turner rounds

even

Dan Hooker rounds

Round 1Dan Hooker edged it

Sig. strikes34

Takedowns0

Control0:00

38Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Dan Hooker edged it

Sig. strikes34

Takedowns0

Control0:00

44Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:16Control

Round 3Dan Hooker edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns1

Control0:18

Knockdowns0

43Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:53Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

100 / 177

Sig Strikes

125 / 197

57%

Sig Str %

64.3%

113 / 191

Total Strikes

172 / 247

1 / 3

TDs

0 / 2

25%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:18

Ctrl Time

3:09

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Dan Hooker	38 / 54	39 / 55	0 / 1	0
1	Jalin Turner	34 / 69	34 / 69	0 / 0	0
2	Dan Hooker	44 / 81	48 / 85	0 / 0	1
2	Jalin Turner	34 / 60	34 / 60	0 / 1	0
3	Dan Hooker	43 / 62	85 / 107	0 / 1	0
3	Jalin Turner	32 / 48	45 / 62	1 / 2	0

Jalin Turner

StanceSouthpaw

Height75.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights14

Dan Hooker

StanceSwitch

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights24