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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Sean Pierson won · U-DEC R3

Elo1351

Elo1490

Jake HechtvsSean PiersonUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · Friday, June 8, 2012Sunrise, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Sean Pierson won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJake Hecht: WrestlervsSean Pierson: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Sean Pierson wins(53.2%)

Actual result: Sean Pierson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sean Pierson at +145 American odds

+$145 profit

$245 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jake Hecht is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Sean Pierson has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Sean Pierson has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Sean Pierson (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Jake Hecht

Red Corner

Sean Pierson

Blue Corner

-155

(61%)

Vegas Odds

+145

(41%)

1351

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'0"

Height

6'0"

185.42 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jake Hecht

oldest →

KOvs Rich Attonito · Dec 11

SUBvs TJ Waldburger · Mar 12

latest

Sean PiersonW2 streak

oldest →

vs Matthew Riddle · Dec 10

KOvs Jake Ellenberger · Apr 11

vs Dong Hyun Kim · Dec 11

vs Lance Benoist · Sep 12

vs Kenny Robertson · Jun 13

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jake HechtMetricSean Pierson

3.26

Strikes / min

3.84

2.76

Strikes absorbed / min

3.73

56%

Strike defense

64%

2.04

TDs / 15 min

0.39

40%

Takedown defense

66%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.50evenly matched on net striking+0.11

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jake HechtSean Pierson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jake Hecht(3 fights)Sean Pierson(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -138.7|Blue +138.7

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red -2.3|Blue +2.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -63.0|Blue +63.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jake HechtTargetSean Pierson

By target zone

24% acc · 46%

Head

23% acc · 49%

70% acc · 51%

Body

94% acc · 41%

100% acc · 3%

Leg

80% acc · 10%

By position

24% acc · 46%

Distance

25% acc · 49%

72% acc · 49%

Clinch

72% acc · 44%

100% acc · 5%

Ground

60% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jake Hecht rounds

even

Sean Pierson rounds

Round 1Sean Pierson edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns2

Control0:53

12Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:08Control

Round 2Sean Pierson edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:38

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:48Control

Round 3Jake Hecht edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control1:23

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

37 / 99

Sig Strikes

41 / 109

43%

Sig Str %

39.7%

48 / 111

Total Strikes

89 / 158

3 / 7

TDs

1 / 2

44.3%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

2:54

Ctrl Time

3:56

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Sean Pierson	12 / 21	36 / 45	1 / 1	1
1	Jake Hecht	9 / 14	15 / 20	2 / 2	0
2	Sean Pierson	21 / 51	32 / 62	0 / 1	0
2	Jake Hecht	18 / 42	20 / 44	0 / 2	0
3	Sean Pierson	8 / 37	21 / 51	0 / 0	0
3	Jake Hecht	10 / 43	13 / 47	1 / 3	0

Jake Hecht

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights3

Sean Pierson

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights6