← All fights/Event page

Middleweight

3 Rounds

Jake Collier won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1474

Elo1358

Jake ColliervsAlberto UdaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · Sunday, May 29, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jake Collier won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:06

Style matchupJake Collier: Pressure fightervsAlberto Uda: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Alberto Uda wins(52.0%)

Actual result: Jake Collier wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alberto Uda at -130 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jake Collier enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Jake Collier

Red Corner

Alberto Uda

Blue Corner

+110

(48%)

Vegas Odds

-130

(57%)

1474

Elo

1358

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'3"

198.12 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jake CollierL4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Chase Sherman · Jan 22

vs Andrei Arlovski · Apr 22

KOvs Chris Barnett · Sep 22

vs Martin Buday · Apr 23

vs Mohammed Usman · Sep 23

latest

Alberto Uda

oldest →

SUBvs Marvin Vettori · Aug 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jake CollierMetricAlberto Uda

5.80

Strikes / min

1.79

5.08

Strikes absorbed / min

3.49

50%

Strike defense

45%

0.71

TDs / 15 min

2.83

67%

Takedown defense

66%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.72Δ 2.42 — meaningful gap-1.70

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jake CollierAlberto Uda

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jake Collier(10 fights)Alberto Uda(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +116.1|Blue -116.1

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red -48.7|Blue +48.7

Grappler Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jake CollierTargetAlberto Uda

By target zone

47% acc · 78%

Head

63% acc · 80%

67% acc · 22%

Body

60% acc · 20%

Leg

0% acc

By position

48% acc · 44%

Distance

25% acc · 20%

53% acc · 37%

Clinch

85% acc · 73%

50% acc · 19%

Ground

50% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jake Collier rounds

even

Alberto Uda rounds

Round 1Jake Collier edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns1

Control2:22

14Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:16Control

Round 2Jake Collier edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:15

Knockdowns1

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

27 / 54

Sig Strikes

15 / 27

51%

Sig Str %

41%

34 / 61

Total Strikes

28 / 40

1 / 5

TDs

1 / 2

12.5%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

2:37

Ctrl Time

1:23

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Alberto Uda	14 / 21	26 / 33	1 / 2
1	Jake Collier	14 / 32	19 / 37	1 / 4
2	Alberto Uda	1 / 6	2 / 7	0 / 0
2	Jake Collier	13 / 22	15 / 24	0 / 1

Jake Collier

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights14

Alberto Uda

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach—

Fights2