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Heavyweight

5 Rounds

Jairzinho Rozenstruik won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1502

Elo1496

Jairzinho RozenstruikvsAugusto SakaiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · Saturday, June 5, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jairzinho Rozenstruik won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:59

Style matchupJairzinho Rozenstruik: StrikervsAugusto Sakai: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Augusto Sakai wins(62.4%)

Actual result: Jairzinho Rozenstruik wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Augusto Sakai at -106 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jairzinho Rozenstruik is a KO finisher (89% of wins). Augusto Sakai has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Jairzinho Rozenstruik has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jairzinho Rozenstruik

Red Corner

Augusto Sakai

Blue Corner

-118

(54%)

Vegas Odds

-106

(51%)

1502

Elo

1496

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'3"

198.12 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jairzinho Rozenstruik

oldest →

KOvs Chris Daukaus · Dec 22

SUBvs Jailton Almeida · May 23

KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Mar 24

vs Tai Tuivasa · Aug 24

vs Sergei Pavlovich · Feb 25

latest

Augusto Sakai

oldest →

vs Blagoy Ivanov · May 20

KOvs Alistair Overeem · Sep 20

KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Dec 21

KOvs Serghei Spivac · Aug 22

vs Don'Tale Mayes · Feb 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jairzinho RozenstruikMetricAugusto Sakai

3.48

Strikes / min

4.60

2.63

Strikes absorbed / min

3.83

52%

Strike defense

48%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.23

72%

Takedown defense

56%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.85evenly matched on net striking+0.77

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jairzinho RozenstruikAugusto Sakai

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jairzinho Rozenstruik(10 fights)Augusto Sakai(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +6.3|Blue -6.3

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red -1.4|Blue +1.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red -175.0|Blue +175.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jairzinho RozenstruikTargetAugusto Sakai

By target zone

35% acc · 38%

Head

0% acc

83% acc · 31%

Body

25% acc · 33%

83% acc · 31%

Leg

40% acc · 67%

By position

58% acc · 94%

Distance

21% acc · 100%

Clinch

33% acc · 6%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jairzinho Rozenstruik rounds

even

Augusto Sakai rounds

Round 1Jairzinho Rozenstruik edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:02

Knockdowns1

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

16 / 29

Sig Strikes

3 / 14

55%

Sig Str %

21%

16 / 29

Total Strikes

3 / 14

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:02

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Augusto Sakai	3 / 14	3 / 14	0 / 0	0
1	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	16 / 29	16 / 29	0 / 0	0

Jairzinho Rozenstruik

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights15

Augusto Sakai

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights9