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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Jailton Almeida won · SUB R1

Elo1508

Elo1497

Jailton AlmeidavsParker PorterUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · Saturday, May 21, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jailton Almeida won

SUB · Round 1 · 4:35

Style matchupJailton Almeida: WrestlervsParker Porter: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Jailton Almeida wins(78.1%)

Actual result: Jailton Almeida wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jailton Almeida at -600 American odds

+$17 profit

$117 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jailton Almeida has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jailton Almeida

Red Corner

Parker Porter

Blue Corner

-600

(86%)

Vegas Odds

+435

(19%)

1508

Elo

1497

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'0"

200.66 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jailton AlmeidaL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Mar 24

SUBvs Alexandr Romanov · Jun 24

KOvs Serghei Spivac · Jan 25

vs Alexander Volkov · Oct 25

vs Rizvan Kuniev · Feb 26

latest

Parker Porter

oldest →

vs Chase Sherman · Aug 21

vs Alan Baudot · Feb 22

KOvs Justin Tafa · Feb 23

KOvs Braxton Smith · May 23

KOvs Junior Tafa · Aug 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jailton AlmeidaMetricParker Porter

2.23

Strikes / min

6.55

1.30

Strikes absorbed / min

6.32

43%

Strike defense

51%

5.64

TDs / 15 min

1.35

60%

Takedown defense

66%

1.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.93evenly matched on net striking+0.23

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jailton AlmeidaParker Porter

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jailton Almeida(10 fights)Parker Porter(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +10.8|Blue -10.8

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Layoff

Red +14.0|Blue -14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jailton AlmeidaTargetParker Porter

By target zone

50% acc · 89%

Head

100% acc · 11%

Body

Leg

By position

100% acc · 6%

Distance

Clinch

52% acc · 94%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jailton Almeida rounds

even

Parker Porter rounds

Round 1Jailton Almeida edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns1

Control4:29

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

18 / 34

Sig Strikes

0 / 0

52%

Sig Str %

—

36 / 58

Total Strikes

0 / 0

1 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

50%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

4:29

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Parker Porter	0 / 0	0 / 0	0 / 0	0
1	Jailton Almeida	18 / 34	36 / 58	1 / 2	1

Jailton Almeida

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights11

Parker Porter

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights8