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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Jailton Almeida won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1508
Jailton Almeida
Elo1417

Jailton AlmeidavsDanilo MarquesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · Saturday, February 5, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jailton Almeida won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:57

Style matchupJailton Almeida: WrestlervsDanilo Marques: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Jailton Almeida wins(83.8%)

Actual result: Jailton Almeida wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jailton Almeida has 60pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jailton Almeida
Red Corner
VS
Danilo Marques
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1508
Elo
1417
35
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'6"
200.66 cm
Reach
195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jailton AlmeidaL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Mar 24
W
SUBvs Alexandr Romanov · Jun 24
W
KOvs Serghei Spivac · Jan 25
L
vs Alexander Volkov · Oct 25
L
vs Rizvan Kuniev · Feb 26
latest
Danilo Marques
oldest →
W
vs Khadis Ibragimov · Sep 20
W
SUBvs Mike Rodriguez · Feb 21
L
KOvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Jun 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jailton AlmeidaMetricDanilo Marques
2.23
Strikes / min
1.44
1.30
Strikes absorbed / min
2.52
43%
Strike defense
52%
5.64
TDs / 15 min
3.93
60%
Takedown defense
0%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.93Δ 2.01 — meaningful gap-1.08

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1512Strikes2.5 vs 1.4Takedowns6.8 vs 3.9Sub Atts2.60 vs 0.80Form0.0 vs 0.1
Jailton AlmeidaDanilo Marques

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Jailton Almeida(10 fights)Danilo Marques(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +90.7|Blue -90.7
Recent Form
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score
Red +49.6|Blue -49.6
Grappler Score
Red +49.5|Blue -49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jailton AlmeidaTargetDanilo Marques

By target zone

30
59% acc · 100%
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0

By position

0
0% acc
Distance
0
0
Clinch
0
30
60% acc · 100%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Jailton Almeida rounds
0
even
0
Danilo Marques rounds
Round 1Jailton Almeida edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns2
Control2:48
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
30 / 51
Sig Strikes
0 / 0
58%
Sig Str %
—
37 / 60
Total Strikes
2 / 2
2 / 2
TDs
0 / 0
100%
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
2:48
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Danilo Marques0 / 02 / 20 / 00
1Jailton Almeida30 / 5137 / 602 / 20

Jailton Almeida

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights11

Danilo Marques

StanceOrthodox
Height78.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights4