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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Cody Durden won · Decision R3
Elo1503
Jafel Filho
Elo1458
Cody Durden editorial illustration

Jafel FilhovsCody DurdenUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · Saturday, April 25, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Official fight result

Cody Durden won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJafel Filho: WrestlervsCody Durden: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Jafel Filho wins(67.5%)

Actual result: Cody Durden wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Cody Durden enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
  • Jafel Filho threatens submissions; Cody Durden has lost 56% of fights by sub.

Tale of the Tape

Jafel Filho
Red Corner
VS
Cody Durden
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1503
Elo
1458
33
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'7"
172.72 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jafel Filho
oldest →
L
SUBvs Muhammad Mokaev · Mar 23
W
SUBvs Daniel Barez · Jul 23
W
SUBvs Ode Osbourne · Mar 24
L
vs Allan Nascimento · May 25
W
SUBvs Clayton Carpenter · Oct 25
latest
Cody DurdenL5 streak
oldest →
L
vs Joshua Van · Dec 24
L
KOvs Jose Ochoa · Jun 25
L
SUBvs Allan Nascimento · Nov 25
L
vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel · Mar 26
L
SUBvs Alessandro Costa · Jul 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jafel FilhoMetricCody Durden
1.78
Strikes / min
3.24
1.76
Strikes absorbed / min
3.94
50%
Strike defense
50%
2.40
TDs / 15 min
3.99
50%
Takedown defense
56%
1.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.02evenly matched on net striking-0.70
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14401463148515081530← oldermost recent →
Jafel Filho(6 fights)Cody Durden(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +44.8|Blue -44.8
Recent Form
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Striker Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red +147.0|Blue -147.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Jafel Filho

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights6

Cody Durden

StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights17