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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Jacqueline Cavalcanti won · S-DEC R3

Elo1538

Elo1483

Jacqueline CavalcantivsJosiane NunesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · Saturday, August 24, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jacqueline Cavalcanti won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJacqueline Cavalcanti: StrikervsJosiane Nunes: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Jacqueline Cavalcanti wins(62.1%)

Actual result: Jacqueline Cavalcanti wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jacqueline Cavalcanti at -290 American odds

+$34 profit

$134 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jacqueline Cavalcanti has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Jacqueline Cavalcanti has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Josiane Nunes (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Jacqueline Cavalcanti

Red Corner

Josiane Nunes

Blue Corner

-290

(74%)

Vegas Odds

+235

(30%)

1538

Elo

1483

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'8"

Height

5'2"

177.8 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jacqueline Cavalcanti

oldest →

vs Zarah Fairn · Sep 23

vs Nora Cornolle · Sep 24

vs Julia Avila · Feb 25

vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Nov 25

DECvs Ketlen Vieira · May 26

latest

Josiane NunesL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Bea Malecki · Aug 21

vs Ramona Pascual · Feb 22

vs Zarah Fairn · Jan 23

vs Chelsea Chandler · Mar 24

KOvs Priscila Cachoeira · Mar 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jacqueline CavalcantiMetricJosiane Nunes

5.65

Strikes / min

5.65

3.17

Strikes absorbed / min

5.76

68%

Strike defense

51%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.00

88%

Takedown defense

58%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.48Δ 2.59 — meaningful gap-0.11

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jacqueline CavalcantiJosiane Nunes

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jacqueline Cavalcanti(6 fights)Josiane Nunes(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +54.6|Blue -54.6

Recent Form

Red +1.3|Blue -1.3

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +196.0|Blue -196.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jacqueline CavalcantiTargetJosiane Nunes

By target zone

41% acc · 54%

Head

26% acc · 63%

58% acc · 12%

Body

58% acc · 21%

94% acc · 34%

Leg

100% acc · 15%

By position

53% acc · 100%

Distance

34% acc · 96%

Clinch

Ground

50% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jacqueline Cavalcanti rounds

even

Josiane Nunes rounds

Round 1Jacqueline Cavalcanti edged it

Sig. strikes34

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Jacqueline Cavalcanti edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Jacqueline Cavalcanti edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:00

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:08Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

91 / 171

Sig Strikes

52 / 153

52.7%

Sig Str %

33.7%

91 / 171

Total Strikes

52 / 153

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:08

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Josiane Nunes	20 / 52	20 / 52	0 / 0
1	Jacqueline Cavalcanti	34 / 62	34 / 62	0 / 0
2	Josiane Nunes	18 / 48	18 / 48	0 / 0
2	Jacqueline Cavalcanti	31 / 60	31 / 60	0 / 0
3	Josiane Nunes	14 / 53	14 / 53	0 / 0
3	Jacqueline Cavalcanti	26 / 49	26 / 49	0 / 0

Jacqueline Cavalcanti

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights5

Josiane Nunes

StanceSouthpaw

Height62.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights6