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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Bobby Green won · SUB R3
Elo1490
Jacob Volkmann
Elo1445

Jacob VolkmannvsBobby GreenUFC Prediction Result

UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · Saturday, February 2, 2013Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Bobby Green won

SUB · Round 3 · 4:25

Model Prediction: Jacob Volkmann wins(75.1%)

Actual result: Bobby Green wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jacob Volkmann at -430 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Jacob Volkmann (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Jacob Volkmann
Red Corner
VS
Bobby Green
Blue Corner
-430
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+380
(21%)
1490
Elo
1445
45
Age
26
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jacob Volkmann
oldest →
W
vs Antonio McKee · Jan 11
W
vs Danny Castillo · Aug 11
W
vs Efrain Escudero · Dec 11
L
SUBvs Paul Sass · May 12
W
SUBvs Shane Roller · Oct 12
latest
Bobby GreenL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Rafael Fiziev · Aug 21
W
KOvs Al Iaquinta · Nov 21
W
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Feb 22
L
KOvs Islam Makhachev · Feb 22
L
KOvs Drew Dober · Dec 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jacob VolkmannMetricBobby Green
1.19
Strikes / min
—
1.78
Strikes absorbed / min
—
52%
Strike defense
—
3.19
TDs / 15 min
—
52%
Takedown defense
—
2.00
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1578 vs 1500Strikes14.2 vs —Takedowns2.2 vs —Sub Atts1.67 vs —Form0.5 vs 0.0
Jacob VolkmannBobby Green

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Jacob Volkmann(8 fights)Bobby Green(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +44.8|Blue -44.8
Recent Form
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score
Red -48.8|Blue +48.8
Grappler Score
Red -49.4|Blue +49.4
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Jacob Volkmann

StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights8

Bobby Green

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9