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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Jacob Volkmann won · S-DEC R3

Elo1490

Jacob VolkmannvsAntonio McKeeUFC Prediction Result

UFC 125: Resolution · Saturday, January 1, 2011Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jacob Volkmann won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Jacob Volkmann wins(83.4%)

Actual result: Jacob Volkmann wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jacob Volkmann at +170 American odds

+$170 profit

$270 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Antonio McKee has 22pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Jacob Volkmann

Red Corner

Antonio McKee

Blue Corner

+170

(37%)

Vegas Odds

-200

(67%)

1490

Elo

1490

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'9"

Height

5'8"

180.34 cm

Reach

183 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jacob Volkmann

oldest →

vs Danny Castillo · Aug 11

vs Efrain Escudero · Dec 11

SUBvs Paul Sass · May 12

SUBvs Shane Roller · Oct 12

SUBvs Bobby Green · Feb 13

latest

Antonio McKeeNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jacob VolkmannMetricAntonio McKee

1.19

Strikes / min

1.37

1.78

Strikes absorbed / min

0.74

52%

Strike defense

74%

3.19

TDs / 15 min

1.47

52%

Takedown defense

57%

2.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.59Δ 1.22 — meaningful gap+0.63

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jacob VolkmannAntonio McKee

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jacob Volkmann(8 fights)Antonio McKee(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -48.9|Blue +48.9

Grappler Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jacob VolkmannTargetAntonio McKee

By target zone

8% acc · 30%

Head

33% acc · 56%

100% acc · 20%

Body

89% acc · 32%

63% acc · 50%

Leg

100% acc · 12%

By position

16% acc · 70%

Distance

39% acc · 68%

Clinch

80% acc · 16%

100% acc · 30%

Ground

67% acc · 16%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jacob Volkmann rounds

even

Antonio McKee rounds

Round 1Antonio McKee edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns1

Control0:46

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:07Control

Round 2Jacob Volkmann edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control3:40

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:06Control

Round 3Antonio McKee edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:00

7Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:35Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

10 / 47

Sig Strikes

25 / 55

21.3%

Sig Str %

44.3%

21 / 58

Total Strikes

41 / 75

1 / 2

TDs

1 / 4

50%

TD %

33.3%

Sub Att

Rev

4:26

Ctrl Time

2:48

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Antonio McKee	12 / 24	14 / 26	0 / 2	0
1	Jacob Volkmann	3 / 20	4 / 21	1 / 2	0
2	Antonio McKee	6 / 15	20 / 33	0 / 1	0
2	Jacob Volkmann	2 / 9	8 / 15	0 / 0	2
3	Antonio McKee	7 / 16	7 / 16	1 / 1	0
3	Jacob Volkmann	5 / 18	9 / 22	0 / 0	0

Jacob Volkmann

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights8

Antonio McKee

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach—

Fights1