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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Jacob Malkoun won · U-DEC R3

Elo1529

Elo1493

Jacob MalkounvsTorrez FinneyUFC Prediction Result

UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · Saturday, January 31, 2026Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Official fight result

Jacob Malkoun won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJacob Malkoun: WrestlervsTorrez Finney: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Jacob Malkoun wins(69.0%)

Actual result: Jacob Malkoun wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jacob Malkoun at -142 American odds

+$70 profit

$170 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jacob Malkoun has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Torrez Finney has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jacob Malkoun

Red Corner

Torrez Finney

Blue Corner

-142

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+120

(45%)

1529

Elo

1493

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'8"

185.42 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jacob MalkounW2 streak

oldest →

vs Brendan Allen · Jun 22

vs Nick Maximov · Oct 22

vs Cody Brundage · Sep 23

KOvs Andre Petroski · Mar 24

DECvs Gerald Meerschaert · May 26

latest

Torrez Finney

oldest →

vs Robert Valentin · Apr 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jacob MalkounMetricTorrez Finney

4.23

Strikes / min

1.78

2.33

Strikes absorbed / min

3.34

55%

Strike defense

40%

5.39

TDs / 15 min

6.86

55%

Takedown defense

75%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.90Δ 3.46 — meaningful gap-1.56

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jacob MalkounTorrez Finney

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jacob Malkoun(9 fights)Torrez Finney(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +36.2|Blue -36.2

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +371.0|Blue -371.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jacob MalkounTargetTorrez Finney

By target zone

115

64% acc · 98%

Head

34% acc · 93%

100% acc · 2%

Body

50% acc · 7%

Leg

By position

63% acc · 83%

Distance

34% acc · 93%

80% acc · 3%

Clinch

67% acc · 7%

70% acc · 14%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jacob Malkoun rounds

even

Torrez Finney rounds

Round 1Jacob Malkoun edged it

Sig. strikes61

Takedowns0

Control0:20

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:20Control

Round 2Jacob Malkoun edged it

Sig. strikes37

Takedowns0

Control2:29

Knockdowns1

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 3Jacob Malkoun edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns2

Control2:27

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

117 / 181

Sig Strikes

27 / 77

64.7%

Sig Str %

34.7%

151 / 219

Total Strikes

42 / 95

2 / 8

TDs

0 / 1

13.3%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

5:16

Ctrl Time

0:20

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Torrez Finney	7 / 26	12 / 33	0 / 1	0
1	Jacob Malkoun	61 / 98	72 / 111	0 / 2	1
2	Torrez Finney	8 / 21	11 / 24	0 / 0	0
2	Jacob Malkoun	37 / 53	58 / 76	0 / 1	2
3	Torrez Finney	12 / 30	19 / 38	0 / 0	0
3	Jacob Malkoun	19 / 30	21 / 32	2 / 5	0

Jacob Malkoun

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights8

Torrez Finney

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights2