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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Phillip Hawes won · KO/TKO
Elo1529
Elo1493

Jacob MalkounvsPhillip HawesUFC Prediction Result

UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · Saturday, October 24, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Phillip Hawes won

KO/TKO

Model Prediction: Phillip Hawes wins(76.0%)

Actual result: Phillip Hawes wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Phillip Hawes at -250 American odds

+$40 profit

$140 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jacob Malkoun enters on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Phillip Hawes has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jacob Malkoun
Red Corner
VS
Phillip Hawes
Blue Corner
+195
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-250
(71%)
1529
Elo
1493
30
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
6'0"
185.42 cm
Reach
195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jacob MalkounW3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Nick Maximov · Oct 22
L
vs Cody Brundage · Sep 23
W
KOvs Andre Petroski · Mar 24
W
vs Torrez Finney · Jan 26
W
DECvs Gerald Meerschaert · May 26
latest
Phillip HawesNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jacob MalkounMetricPhillip Hawes
4.23
Strikes / min
—
2.33
Strikes absorbed / min
—
55%
Strike defense
—
5.39
TDs / 15 min
—
55%
Takedown defense
—
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1500Strikes0.0 vs 3.5Takedowns0.0 vs 1.7Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form0.0 vs 0.0
Jacob MalkounPhillip Hawes

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Jacob Malkoun(9 fights)Phillip Hawes(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +36.0|Blue -36.0
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Jacob Malkoun

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8

Phillip Hawes

No profile data.