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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Jacob Malkoun won · Decision R3
Elo1529
Elo1457
Gerald Meerschaert

Jacob MalkounvsGerald MeerschaertUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · Saturday, May 2, 2026Perth, Australia

Official fight result

Jacob Malkoun won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJacob Malkoun: WrestlervsGerald Meerschaert: Submission grappler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Jacob Malkoun wins(69.8%)

Actual result: Jacob Malkoun wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
  • Jacob Malkoun has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Gerald Meerschaert has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jacob Malkoun
Red Corner
VS
Gerald Meerschaert
Blue Corner
Vegas Odds
1529
Elo
1457
30
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
6'1"
185.42 cm
Reach
195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jacob MalkounW2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Brendan Allen · Jun 22
W
vs Nick Maximov · Oct 22
L
vs Cody Brundage · Sep 23
W
KOvs Andre Petroski · Mar 24
W
vs Torrez Finney · Jan 26
latest
Gerald MeerschaertL4 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Aug 24
L
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Nov 24
L
vs Brad Tavares · Apr 25
L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 25
L
SUBvs Kyle Daukaus · Nov 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jacob MalkounMetricGerald Meerschaert
4.23
Strikes / min
2.95
2.33
Strikes absorbed / min
3.44
55%
Strike defense
53%
5.39
TDs / 15 min
1.70
55%
Takedown defense
40%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.90Δ 2.39 — meaningful gap-0.49
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14401465149015151540← oldermost recent →
Jacob Malkoun(9 fights)Gerald Meerschaert(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +72.3|Blue -72.3
Recent Form
Red +1.6|Blue -1.6
Striker Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red -77.0|Blue +77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Jacob Malkoun

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8

Gerald Meerschaert

StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights25