Middleweight

3 Rounds

Cody Brundage won · DQ R1

Elo1529

Elo1490

Jacob MalkounvsCody BrundageUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · Saturday, September 23, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Cody Brundage won

DQ · Round 1 · 4:15

Model Prediction: Jacob Malkoun wins(76.5%)

Actual result: Cody Brundage wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jacob Malkoun at -620 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jacob Malkoun enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Jacob Malkoun

Red Corner

Cody Brundage

Blue Corner

-620

(86%)

Vegas Odds

+400

(20%)

1529

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

6'0"

185.42 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jacob MalkounW4 streak

oldest →

vs Brendan Allen · Jun 22

vs Nick Maximov · Oct 22

KOvs Andre Petroski · Mar 24

vs Torrez Finney · Jan 26

DECvs Gerald Meerschaert · May 26

latest

Cody Brundage

oldest →

vs Mansur Abdul-Malik · Jun 25

vs Eric McConico · Aug 25

KOvs Cam Rowston · Jan 26

vs Donte Johnson · Mar 26

KOvs Andre Petroski · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jacob MalkounMetricCody Brundage

4.23

Strikes / min

2.26

2.33

Strikes absorbed / min

3.02

55%

Strike defense

50%

5.39

TDs / 15 min

1.88

55%

Takedown defense

68%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.90Δ 2.66 — meaningful gap-0.76

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jacob MalkounCody Brundage

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jacob Malkoun(9 fights)Cody Brundage(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +39.3|Blue -39.3

Recent Form

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +252.0|Blue -252.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jacob MalkounTargetCody Brundage

By target zone

72% acc · 100%

Head

33% acc · 50%

Body

Leg

100% acc · 50%

By position

Distance

33% acc · 50%

Clinch

72% acc · 100%

Ground

100% acc · 50%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jacob Malkoun rounds

even

Cody Brundage rounds

Round 1Jacob Malkoun edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns1

Control3:39

2Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:26Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

28 / 39

Sig Strikes

2 / 4

71%

Sig Str %

50%

44 / 60

Total Strikes

3 / 5

1 / 3

TDs

1 / 1

33%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

3:39

Ctrl Time

0:26

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Cody Brundage	2 / 4	3 / 5	1 / 1	0
1	Jacob Malkoun	28 / 39	44 / 60	1 / 3	0

Jacob Malkoun

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights8

Cody Brundage

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights14