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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Jackson McVey won · Submission R1
Elo1496
Elo1467

Jackson McVeyvsSedriques DumasUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · Saturday, April 25, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Official fight result

Jackson McVey won

Submission · Round 1 · 2:14

Model Prediction: Jackson McVey wins(51.0%)

Actual result: Jackson McVey wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Sedriques Dumas enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Jackson McVey threatens submissions; Sedriques Dumas has lost 50% of fights by sub.
  • Sedriques Dumas has 30pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Sedriques Dumas has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jackson McVey
Red Corner
VS
Sedriques Dumas
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1496
Elo
1467
27
Age
30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'2"
195.58 cm
Reach
200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jackson McVeyL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Brunno Ferreira · Jul 25
L
SUBvs Zach Reese · Nov 25
latest
Sedriques DumasL3 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Nursulton Ruziboev · Mar 24
W
vs Denis Tiuliulin · Aug 24
L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Apr 25
L
vs Zach Reese · Sep 25
L
SUBvs Donte Johnson · Nov 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jackson McVeyMetricSedriques Dumas
6.51
Strikes / min
1.97
3.37
Strikes absorbed / min
2.64
23%
Strike defense
53%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.30
0%
Takedown defense
33%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+3.14Δ 3.81 — meaningful gap-0.67
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14501468148515031520← oldermost recent →
Jackson McVey(3 fights)Sedriques Dumas(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +28.9|Blue -28.9
Recent Form
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red -7.0|Blue +7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Jackson McVey

StanceSouthpaw
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights4

Sedriques Dumas

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights9