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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Youssef Zalal won · SUB R2
Elo1496
Jack Shore
Elo1526

Jack ShorevsYoussef ZalalUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · Saturday, November 2, 2024Edmonton, Alberta, Canada

Official fight result

Youssef Zalal won

SUB · Round 2 · 0:59

Style matchupJack Shore: WrestlervsYoussef Zalal: Submission grappler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Jack Shore wins(54.0%)

Actual result: Youssef Zalal wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Youssef Zalal threatens submissions; Jack Shore has lost 67% of fights by sub.
  • Jack Shore has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Youssef Zalal (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Jack Shore
Red Corner
VS
Youssef Zalal
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1496
Elo
1526
31
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'8"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jack Shore
oldest →
W
vs Liudvik Sholinian · Sep 21
W
vs Timur Valiev · Mar 22
L
SUBvs Ricky Simon · Jul 22
W
SUBvs Makwan Amirkhani · Mar 23
L
KOvs Joanderson Brito · May 24
latest
Youssef Zalal
oldest →
W
SUBvs Billy Quarantillo · Mar 24
W
SUBvs Jarno Errens · Aug 24
W
vs Calvin Kattar · Feb 25
W
SUBvs Josh Emmett · Oct 25
L
DECvs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jack ShoreMetricYoussef Zalal
3.60
Strikes / min
2.78
2.31
Strikes absorbed / min
1.79
56%
Strike defense
64%
3.22
TDs / 15 min
1.84
74%
Takedown defense
55%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.29evenly matched on net striking+0.99

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1553 vs 1515Strikes3.6 vs 2.8Takedowns3.2 vs 2.3Sub Atts0.60 vs 1.50Form-0.3 vs 0.9
Jack ShoreYoussef Zalal

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801498151515331550← oldermost recent →
Jack Shore(9 fights)Youssef Zalal(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -30.6|Blue +30.6
Recent Form
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +98.0|Blue -98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jack ShoreTargetYoussef Zalal

By target zone

8
50% acc · 100%
Head
9
41% acc · 69%
0
Body
1
50% acc · 8%
0
0% acc
Leg
3
100% acc · 23%

By position

7
41% acc · 88%
Distance
11
48% acc · 85%
0
Clinch
0
0% acc
1
100% acc · 13%
Ground
2
100% acc · 15%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Jack Shore rounds
0
even
1
Youssef Zalal rounds
Round 1Jack Shore edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns2
Control1:49
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:39Control
Round 2Youssef Zalal edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:28Control
1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
8 / 18
Sig Strikes
13 / 27
39.5%
Sig Str %
50.5%
10 / 21
Total Strikes
21 / 37
2 / 4
TDs
1 / 2
50%
TD %
50%
0
Sub Att
1
0
Rev
0
1:49
Ctrl Time
2:07

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Youssef Zalal7 / 1713 / 231 / 20
1Jack Shore7 / 159 / 182 / 40
2Youssef Zalal6 / 108 / 140 / 01
2Jack Shore1 / 31 / 30 / 00

Jack Shore

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9

Youssef Zalal

StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights11