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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Jack Shore won · U-DEC R3

Elo1496

Elo1494

Jack ShorevsTimur ValievUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · Saturday, March 19, 2022London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Jack Shore won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJack Shore: WrestlervsTimur Valiev: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Jack Shore wins(60.4%)

Actual result: Jack Shore wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jack Shore at -130 American odds

+$77 profit

$177 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jack Shore has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Jack Shore has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Jack Shore has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jack Shore

Red Corner

Timur Valiev

Blue Corner

-130

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+110

(48%)

1496

Elo

1494

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'6"

180.34 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jack ShoreL2 streak

oldest →

vs Liudvik Sholinian · Sep 21

SUBvs Ricky Simon · Jul 22

SUBvs Makwan Amirkhani · Mar 23

KOvs Joanderson Brito · May 24

SUBvs Youssef Zalal · Nov 24

latest

Timur Valiev

oldest →

KOvs Trevin Jones · Aug 20

vs Raoni Barcelos · Jun 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jack ShoreMetricTimur Valiev

3.60

Strikes / min

5.19

2.31

Strikes absorbed / min

3.33

56%

Strike defense

45%

3.22

TDs / 15 min

1.73

74%

Takedown defense

55%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.29evenly matched on net striking+1.86

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jack ShoreTimur Valiev

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jack Shore(9 fights)Timur Valiev(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +1.2|Blue -1.2

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red -70.0|Blue +70.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jack ShoreTargetTimur Valiev

By target zone

57% acc · 66%

Head

28% acc · 32%

88% acc · 21%

Body

65% acc · 36%

100% acc · 13%

Leg

85% acc · 32%

By position

61% acc · 77%

Distance

47% acc · 93%

71% acc · 7%

Clinch

83% acc · 7%

100% acc · 16%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jack Shore rounds

even

Timur Valiev rounds

Round 1Timur Valiev edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:29

30Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:22Control

Round 2Timur Valiev edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns1

Control1:38

21Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:37Control

Round 3Jack Shore edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns2

Control2:35

Knockdowns2

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

70 / 107

Sig Strikes

72 / 150

64.3%

Sig Str %

47.7%

87 / 128

Total Strikes

75 / 155

3 / 7

TDs

2 / 3

33%

TD %

75%

Sub Att

Rev

4:42

Ctrl Time

2:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Timur Valiev	30 / 58	30 / 58	1 / 2	0
1	Jack Shore	24 / 37	26 / 39	0 / 1	0
2	Timur Valiev	21 / 41	24 / 46	1 / 1	0
2	Jack Shore	17 / 28	23 / 35	1 / 3	0
3	Timur Valiev	21 / 51	21 / 51	0 / 0	1
3	Jack Shore	29 / 42	38 / 54	2 / 3	0

Jack Shore

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights9

Timur Valiev

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights3