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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Jack Shore won · SUB R3

Elo1496

Elo1376

Jack ShorevsNohelin HernandezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · Saturday, September 28, 2019Copenhagen, Denmark

Official fight result

Jack Shore won

SUB · Round 3 · 2:51

Model Prediction: Jack Shore wins(74.7%)

Actual result: Jack Shore wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jack Shore at -235 American odds

+$43 profit

$143 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jack Shore threatens submissions; Nohelin Hernandez has lost 100% of fights by sub.
Jack Shore has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jack Shore

Red Corner

Nohelin Hernandez

Blue Corner

-235

(70%)

Vegas Odds

+195

(34%)

1496

Elo

1376

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'10"

180.34 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jack ShoreL2 streak

oldest →

vs Timur Valiev · Mar 22

SUBvs Ricky Simon · Jul 22

SUBvs Makwan Amirkhani · Mar 23

KOvs Joanderson Brito · May 24

SUBvs Youssef Zalal · Nov 24

latest

Nohelin Hernandez

oldest →

SUBvs Marlon Vera · Jul 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jack ShoreMetricNohelin Hernandez

3.60

Strikes / min

1.32

2.31

Strikes absorbed / min

2.63

56%

Strike defense

52%

3.22

TDs / 15 min

0.71

74%

Takedown defense

37%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.29Δ 2.60 — meaningful gap-1.31

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jack ShoreNohelin Hernandez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jack Shore(9 fights)Nohelin Hernandez(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +119.1|Blue -119.1

Recent Form

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Striker Score

Red +49.8|Blue -49.8

Grappler Score

Red +49.8|Blue -49.8

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jack ShoreTargetNohelin Hernandez

By target zone

43% acc · 72%

Head

15% acc · 83%

100% acc · 4%

Body

79% acc · 24%

Leg

50% acc · 17%

By position

45% acc · 57%

Distance

13% acc · 67%

75% acc · 7%

Clinch

50% acc · 33%

57% acc · 37%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jack Shore rounds

even

Nohelin Hernandez rounds

Round 1Jack Shore edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns1

Control2:23

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Jack Shore edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns2

Control1:26

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:40Control

Round 3Jack Shore edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns1

Control2:43

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

46 / 92

Sig Strikes

6 / 36

51.7%

Sig Str %

13%

81 / 139

Total Strikes

9 / 39

4 / 7

TDs

0 / 0

66.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

6:32

Ctrl Time

0:40

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Nohelin Hernandez	2 / 8	3 / 9	0 / 0	0
1	Jack Shore	21 / 45	32 / 64	1 / 3	0
2	Nohelin Hernandez	4 / 27	4 / 27	0 / 0	0
2	Jack Shore	21 / 40	26 / 47	2 / 3	0
3	Nohelin Hernandez	0 / 1	2 / 3	0 / 0	0
3	Jack Shore	4 / 7	23 / 28	1 / 1	1

Jack Shore

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights9

Nohelin Hernandez

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights2