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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Joanderson Brito won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1496

Elo1538

Jack ShorevsJoanderson BritoUFC Prediction Result

UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · Saturday, May 4, 2024Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Joanderson Brito won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:35

Style matchupJack Shore: WrestlervsJoanderson Brito: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Joanderson Brito wins(50.8%)

Actual result: Joanderson Brito wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Joanderson Brito at -218 American odds

+$46 profit

$146 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Joanderson Brito threatens submissions; Jack Shore has lost 67% of fights by sub.
Jack Shore has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Jack Shore has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jack Shore

Red Corner

Joanderson Brito

Blue Corner

+180

(36%)

Vegas Odds

-218

(69%)

1496

Elo

1538

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'8"

180.34 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jack Shore

oldest →

vs Liudvik Sholinian · Sep 21

vs Timur Valiev · Mar 22

SUBvs Ricky Simon · Jul 22

SUBvs Makwan Amirkhani · Mar 23

SUBvs Youssef Zalal · Nov 24

latest

Joanderson BritoW2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jonathan Pearce · Nov 23

vs William Gomis · Sep 24

vs Pat Sabatini · Apr 25

vs Isaac Thomson · Dec 25

SUBvs Jordan Leavitt · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jack ShoreMetricJoanderson Brito

3.60

Strikes / min

2.43

2.31

Strikes absorbed / min

2.32

56%

Strike defense

44%

3.22

TDs / 15 min

3.38

74%

Takedown defense

47%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

1.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.29Δ 1.18 — meaningful gap+0.11

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jack ShoreJoanderson Brito

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jack Shore(9 fights)Joanderson Brito(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -42.6|Blue +42.6

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +245.0|Blue -245.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jack ShoreTargetJoanderson Brito

By target zone

50% acc · 67%

Head

14% acc · 13%

100% acc · 29%

Body

100% acc · 13%

100% acc · 4%

Leg

96% acc · 73%

By position

40% acc · 42%

Distance

43% acc · 67%

93% acc · 58%

Clinch

100% acc · 33%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jack Shore rounds

even

Joanderson Brito rounds

Round 1Joanderson Brito edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:48

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:31Control

Round 2Joanderson Brito edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

15Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:38Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

24 / 40

Sig Strikes

30 / 56

58.5%

Sig Str %

54%

31 / 47

Total Strikes

57 / 86

0 / 2

TDs

1 / 1

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:48

Ctrl Time

5:09

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Joanderson Brito	15 / 31	29 / 45	0 / 0
1	Jack Shore	9 / 17	13 / 21	0 / 2
2	Joanderson Brito	15 / 25	28 / 41	1 / 1
2	Jack Shore	15 / 23	18 / 26	0 / 0

Jack Shore

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights9

Joanderson Brito

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights10