← All fights/Event page

Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Jack Shore won · SUB R2

Elo1496

Elo1456

Jack ShorevsAaron PhillipsUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige · Wednesday, July 15, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Jack Shore won

SUB · Round 2 · 2:29

Model Prediction: Jack Shore wins(90.4%)

Actual result: Jack Shore wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jack Shore at -715 American odds

+$14 profit

$114 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Aaron Phillips enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Jack Shore has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Jack Shore has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Aaron Phillips (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Jack Shore

Red Corner

Aaron Phillips

Blue Corner

-715

(88%)

Vegas Odds

+475

(17%)

1496

Elo

1456

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'8"

Height

5'9"

180.34 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jack ShoreL2 streak

oldest →

vs Timur Valiev · Mar 22

SUBvs Ricky Simon · Jul 22

SUBvs Makwan Amirkhani · Mar 23

KOvs Joanderson Brito · May 24

SUBvs Youssef Zalal · Nov 24

latest

Aaron PhillipsL3 streak

oldest →

vs Sam Sicilia · May 14

vs Matt Hobar · Aug 14

vs Gaston Bolanos · Apr 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jack ShoreMetricAaron Phillips

3.60

Strikes / min

1.51

2.31

Strikes absorbed / min

3.66

56%

Strike defense

43%

3.22

TDs / 15 min

0.86

74%

Takedown defense

44%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.29Δ 3.44 — meaningful gap-2.15

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jack ShoreAaron Phillips

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jack Shore(9 fights)Aaron Phillips(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +39.3|Blue -39.3

Recent Form

Red +2.0|Blue -2.0

Striker Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Layoff

Red -1862.0|Blue +1862.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jack ShoreTargetAaron Phillips

By target zone

59% acc · 66%

Head

11% acc · 17%

83% acc · 17%

Body

83% acc · 83%

71% acc · 17%

Leg

By position

50% acc · 24%

Distance

36% acc · 83%

100% acc · 21%

Clinch

100% acc · 17%

64% acc · 55%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jack Shore rounds

even

Aaron Phillips rounds

Round 1Jack Shore edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns2

Control3:43

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

Round 2Jack Shore edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns1

Control1:42

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

29 / 45

Sig Strikes

6 / 15

66%

Sig Str %

39.5%

42 / 59

Total Strikes

7 / 16

3 / 8

TDs

0 / 0

64%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

5:25

Ctrl Time

0:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Aaron Phillips	3 / 8	4 / 9	0 / 0	0
1	Jack Shore	22 / 35	26 / 40	2 / 7	0
2	Aaron Phillips	3 / 7	3 / 7	0 / 0	0
2	Jack Shore	7 / 10	16 / 19	1 / 1	1

Jack Shore

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights9

Aaron Phillips

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights4