Featherweight

3 Rounds

Jack Jenkins won · U-DEC R3

Elo1509

Elo1483

Jack JenkinsvsRamon TaverasUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · Saturday, September 27, 2025Perth, Western Australia, Australia

Official fight result

Jack Jenkins won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJack Jenkins: Elusive strikervsRamon Taveras: Pressure fighter

The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.

Model Prediction: Jack Jenkins wins(62.5%)

Actual result: Jack Jenkins wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jack Jenkins at -300 American odds

+$33 profit

$133 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Jack Jenkins (54.1%).

Tale of the Tape

Jack Jenkins

Red Corner

Ramon Taveras

Blue Corner

-300

(75%)

Vegas Odds

+245

(29%)

1509

Elo

1483

Age

Switch

Stance

Southpaw

5'7"

Height

5'8"

172.72 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jack Jenkins

oldest →

vs Don Shainis · Feb 23

vs Jamall Emmers · Jun 23

KOvs Chepe Mariscal · Sep 23

KOvs Herbert Burns · Aug 24

SUBvs Gabriel Santos · Feb 25

latest

Ramon Taveras

oldest →

vs Serhiy Sidey · Jan 24

vs Davey Grant · Dec 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jack JenkinsMetricRamon Taveras

4.48

Strikes / min

4.07

2.95

Strikes absorbed / min

6.45

59%

Strike defense

54%

1.98

TDs / 15 min

0.00

71%

Takedown defense

72%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.53Δ 3.91 — meaningful gap-2.38

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jack JenkinsRamon Taveras

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jack Jenkins(6 fights)Ramon Taveras(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +26.8|Blue -26.8

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red -56.0|Blue +56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jack JenkinsTargetRamon Taveras

By target zone

43% acc · 45%

Head

37% acc · 84%

76% acc · 25%

Body

43% acc · 14%

100% acc · 31%

Leg

100% acc · 2%

By position

61% acc · 89%

Distance

36% acc · 88%

80% acc · 6%

Clinch

0% acc

33% acc · 5%

Ground

83% acc · 12%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jack Jenkins rounds

even

Ramon Taveras rounds

Round 1Jack Jenkins edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 2Jack Jenkins edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns1

Control1:04

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:25Control

Round 3Jack Jenkins edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns2

Control2:54

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:12Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

65 / 109

Sig Strikes

43 / 113

54%

Sig Str %

43%

73 / 123

Total Strikes

68 / 142

3 / 6

TDs

0 / 4

49.5%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

3:58

Ctrl Time

1:39

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Ramon Taveras	16 / 43	16 / 43	0 / 1	0
1	Jack Jenkins	32 / 56	32 / 56	0 / 0	0
2	Ramon Taveras	20 / 58	30 / 68	0 / 2	0
2	Jack Jenkins	29 / 42	29 / 43	1 / 3	0
3	Ramon Taveras	7 / 12	22 / 31	0 / 1	0
3	Jack Jenkins	4 / 11	12 / 24	2 / 3	1

Jack Jenkins

StanceSwitch

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights6

Ramon Taveras

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights3