← All fights/Event page

Middleweight

3 Rounds

Jack Hermansson won · U-DEC

Elo1480

Elo1513

Jack HermanssonvsEdmen ShahbazyanUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · Saturday, May 22, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jack Hermansson won

U-DEC

Style matchupJack Hermansson: Pressure fightervsEdmen Shahbazyan: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Edmen Shahbazyan wins(53.0%)

Actual result: Jack Hermansson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Edmen Shahbazyan at +112 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Edmen Shahbazyan is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Jack Hermansson has lost 63% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Jack Hermansson

Red Corner

Edmen Shahbazyan

Blue Corner

-132

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+112

(47%)

1480

Elo

1513

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'2"

195.58 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jack HermanssonL2 streak

oldest →

vs Chris Curtis · Jul 22

KOvs Roman Dolidze · Dec 22

vs Joe Pyfer · Feb 24

KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Jun 25

KOvs Myktybek Orolbai · Nov 25

latest

Edmen Shahbazyan

oldest →

SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Aug 24

KOvs Dylan Budka · Feb 25

vs Andre Petroski · Jun 25

KOvs Andre Muniz · Oct 25

DECvs Brendan Allen · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jack HermanssonMetricEdmen Shahbazyan

5.15

Strikes / min

3.80

3.72

Strikes absorbed / min

3.60

56%

Strike defense

49%

1.48

TDs / 15 min

1.62

80%

Takedown defense

66%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.43Δ 1.23 — meaningful gap+0.20

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jack HermanssonEdmen Shahbazyan

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jack Hermansson(10 fights)Edmen Shahbazyan(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -32.1|Blue +32.1

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +1.5|Blue -1.5

Grappler Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Layoff

Red -126.0|Blue +126.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jack HermanssonTargetEdmen Shahbazyan

By target zone

54% acc · 80%

Head

40% acc · 85%

50% acc · 5%

Body

75% acc · 15%

67% acc · 15%

Leg

By position

36% acc · 36%

Distance

39% acc · 75%

Clinch

75% acc · 8%

80% acc · 64%

Ground

64% acc · 18%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jack Hermansson rounds

even

Edmen Shahbazyan rounds

Round 1Edmen Shahbazyan edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:03

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Jack Hermansson edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns2

Control2:54

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:51Control

Round 3Jack Hermansson edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns1

Control4:14

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

55 / 100

Sig Strikes

40 / 92

52%

Sig Str %

48.7%

141 / 192

Total Strikes

42 / 94

3 / 6

TDs

0 / 0

44.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

7:11

Ctrl Time

1:51

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Edmen Shahbazyan	26 / 67	26 / 67	0 / 0	0
1	Jack Hermansson	18 / 42	18 / 42	0 / 1	0
2	Edmen Shahbazyan	10 / 17	12 / 19	0 / 0	1
2	Jack Hermansson	6 / 13	24 / 35	2 / 2	0
3	Edmen Shahbazyan	4 / 8	4 / 8	0 / 0	0
3	Jack Hermansson	31 / 45	99 / 115	1 / 3	0

Jack Hermansson

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights19

Edmen Shahbazyan

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights15