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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Jack Della Maddalena won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1506

Elo1496

Jack Della MaddalenavsPete RodriguezUFC Prediction Result

UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · Saturday, January 22, 2022Anaheim, California, USA

Official fight result

Jack Della Maddalena won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:59

Style matchupJack Della Maddalena: Pressure fightervsPete Rodriguez: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Pete Rodriguez wins(62.1%)

Actual result: Jack Della Maddalena wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Pete Rodriguez at +330 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jack Della Maddalena is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Pete Rodriguez has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Pete Rodriguez is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Jack Della Maddalena has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Jack Della Maddalena has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Pete Rodriguez has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jack Della Maddalena

Red Corner

Pete Rodriguez

Blue Corner

-420

(81%)

Vegas Odds

+330

(23%)

1506

Elo

1496

Age

Switch

Stance

Switch

5'11"

Height

5'9"

185.42 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jack Della MaddalenaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Kevin Holland · Sep 23

KOvs Gilbert Burns · Mar 24

vs Belal Muhammad · May 25

vs Islam Makhachev · Nov 25

KOvs Carlos Prates · May 26

latest

Pete Rodriguez

oldest →

KOvs Mike Jackson · Oct 22

KOvs Themba Gorimbo · Feb 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jack Della MaddalenaMetricPete Rodriguez

5.32

Strikes / min

9.28

4.24

Strikes absorbed / min

12.83

61%

Strike defense

42%

0.34

TDs / 15 min

0.00

64%

Takedown defense

100%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.08Δ 4.63 — meaningful gap-3.55

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jack Della MaddalenaPete Rodriguez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jack Della Maddalena(10 fights)Pete Rodriguez(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +10.2|Blue -10.2

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jack Della MaddalenaTargetPete Rodriguez

By target zone

51% acc · 88%

Head

26% acc · 48%

83% acc · 12%

Body

43% acc · 24%

Leg

88% acc · 28%

By position

51% acc · 93%

Distance

36% acc · 100%

Clinch

100% acc · 7%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jack Della Maddalena rounds

even

Pete Rodriguez rounds

Round 1Jack Della Maddalena edged it

Sig. strikes43

Takedowns0

Control0:01

Knockdowns1

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

43 / 81

Sig Strikes

25 / 69

53%

Sig Str %

36%

43 / 81

Total Strikes

25 / 69

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:01

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Pete Rodriguez	25 / 69	25 / 69	0 / 0	0
1	Jack Della Maddalena	43 / 81	43 / 81	0 / 0	0

Jack Della Maddalena

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights9

Pete Rodriguez

StanceSwitch

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights3