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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Jack Della Maddalena won · S-DEC R3

Elo1506

Elo1493

Jack Della MaddalenavsBassil HafezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · Saturday, July 15, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jack Della Maddalena won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJack Della Maddalena: Pressure fightervsBassil Hafez: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Jack Della Maddalena wins(78.7%)

Actual result: Jack Della Maddalena wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jack Della Maddalena at -590 American odds

+$17 profit

$117 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jack Della Maddalena is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Bassil Hafez has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Jack Della Maddalena has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Jack Della Maddalena (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Jack Della Maddalena

Red Corner

Bassil Hafez

Blue Corner

-590

(86%)

Vegas Odds

+430

(19%)

1506

Elo

1493

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'11"

185.42 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jack Della MaddalenaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Kevin Holland · Sep 23

KOvs Gilbert Burns · Mar 24

vs Belal Muhammad · May 25

vs Islam Makhachev · Nov 25

KOvs Carlos Prates · May 26

latest

Bassil Hafez

oldest →

vs Mickey Gall · Jun 24

KOvs Oban Elliott · Nov 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jack Della MaddalenaMetricBassil Hafez

5.32

Strikes / min

3.71

4.24

Strikes absorbed / min

5.68

61%

Strike defense

41%

0.34

TDs / 15 min

2.21

64%

Takedown defense

50%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.08Δ 3.05 — meaningful gap-1.97

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jack Della MaddalenaBassil Hafez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jack Della Maddalena(10 fights)Bassil Hafez(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +12.4|Blue -12.4

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -49.4|Blue +49.4

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jack Della MaddalenaTargetBassil Hafez

By target zone

53% acc · 66%

Head

25% acc · 91%

84% acc · 33%

Body

33% acc · 6%

100% acc · 1%

Leg

100% acc · 3%

By position

57% acc · 82%

Distance

24% acc · 88%

82% acc · 17%

Clinch

67% acc · 13%

100% acc · 1%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jack Della Maddalena rounds

even

Bassil Hafez rounds

Round 1Bassil Hafez edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:02

9Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

3:19Control

Round 2Jack Della Maddalena edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:07

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:15Control

Round 3Jack Della Maddalena edged it

Sig. strikes43

Takedowns1

Control1:10

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:14Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

83 / 137

Sig Strikes

32 / 124

58.3%

Sig Str %

25.7%

149 / 212

Total Strikes

48 / 141

1 / 2

TDs

3 / 20

50%

TD %

20%

Sub Att

Rev

1:19

Ctrl Time

6:48

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Bassil Hafez	9 / 28	12 / 31	3 / 5
1	Jack Della Maddalena	13 / 26	41 / 56	0 / 1
2	Bassil Hafez	16 / 56	29 / 70	0 / 6
2	Jack Della Maddalena	27 / 43	47 / 64	0 / 0
3	Bassil Hafez	7 / 40	7 / 40	0 / 9
3	Jack Della Maddalena	43 / 68	61 / 92	1 / 1

Jack Della Maddalena

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights9

Bassil Hafez

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights3