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Elo1564
Elo1544

Iwo BaraniewskivsBilly ElekanaUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · Saturday, June 6, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Fight begins in

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Iwo Baraniewski enters on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Billy Elekana enters on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Iwo Baraniewski has 100pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Billy Elekana has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Iwo Baraniewski
Red Corner
VS
Billy Elekana
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1564
Elo
1544
27
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'3"
185.42 cm
Reach
195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Iwo BaraniewskiW3 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Ibo Aslan · Dec 25
W
KOvs Austen Lane · Mar 26
W
KOvs Junior Tafa · Jun 26
latest
Billy ElekanaW3 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Bogdan Guskov · Jan 25
W
vs Ibo Aslan · Jul 25
W
SUBvs Kevin Christian · Nov 25
W
SUBvs Junior Tafa · Jan 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Iwo BaraniewskiMetricBilly Elekana
15.77
Strikes / min
2.71
14.01
Strikes absorbed / min
3.59
46%
Strike defense
46%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.85
100%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.76Δ 2.64 — meaningful gap-0.88
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701498152515531580← oldermost recent →
Iwo Baraniewski(3 fights)Billy Elekana(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +20.5|Blue -20.5
Recent Form
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: Submission.

KO / TKO38%

Historical win share: Iwo Baraniewski earned 100% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission63%

Historical win share: Billy Elekana earned 67% of wins by submission.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Iwo Baraniewski

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4

Billy Elekana

StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights4