Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Luana Carolina won · U-DEC R3

Elo1486

Elo1500

Ivana PetrovicvsLuana CarolinaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · Saturday, July 1, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Luana Carolina won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupIvana Petrovic: WrestlervsLuana Carolina: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Luana Carolina wins(59.2%)

Actual result: Luana Carolina wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Ivana Petrovic (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Ivana Petrovic

Red Corner

Luana Carolina

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1486

Elo

1500

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'6"

177.8 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ivana PetrovicL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Liang Na · Apr 24

vs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Nov 24

vs Juliana Miller · May 25

latest

Luana Carolina

oldest →

KOvs Molly McCann · Mar 22

vs Joanne Wood · Mar 23

KOvs Julija Stoliarenko · Feb 24

vs Lucie Pudilova · Jul 24

vs Michelle Montague · Sep 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ivana PetrovicMetricLuana Carolina

1.91

Strikes / min

4.65

2.05

Strikes absorbed / min

3.46

56%

Strike defense

51%

2.12

TDs / 15 min

0.30

61%

Takedown defense

68%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.14Δ 1.33 — meaningful gap+1.19

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ivana PetrovicLuana Carolina

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ivana Petrovic(4 fights)Luana Carolina(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -14.6|Blue +14.6

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red +49.5|Blue -49.5

Grappler Score

Red +49.7|Blue -49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ivana PetrovicTargetLuana Carolina

By target zone

29% acc · 68%

Head

30% acc · 44%

63% acc · 23%

Body

73% acc · 27%

67% acc · 9%

Leg

100% acc · 29%

By position

32% acc · 73%

Distance

41% acc · 66%

40% acc · 18%

Clinch

88% acc · 17%

100% acc · 9%

Ground

54% acc · 17%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ivana Petrovic rounds

even

Luana Carolina rounds

Round 1Luana Carolina edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control1:22

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:08Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control1:58

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:24Control

Round 3Luana Carolina edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns1

Control0:51

15Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:13Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

22 / 62

Sig Strikes

41 / 87

33.3%

Sig Str %

47.3%

77 / 122

Total Strikes

112 / 167

2 / 6

TDs

1 / 3

27.7%

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

4:11

Ctrl Time

5:45

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Luana Carolina	10 / 22	31 / 44	0 / 0	0
1	Ivana Petrovic	3 / 15	18 / 34	0 / 1	0
2	Luana Carolina	16 / 38	47 / 70	0 / 1	0
2	Ivana Petrovic	13 / 32	28 / 48	1 / 2	0
3	Luana Carolina	15 / 27	34 / 53	1 / 2	0
3	Ivana Petrovic	6 / 15	31 / 40	1 / 3	2

Ivana Petrovic

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4

Luana Carolina

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights10