Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Ivana Petrovic won · SUB R3

Elo1486

Ivana PetrovicvsLiang NaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · Saturday, April 27, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Ivana Petrovic won

SUB · Round 3 · 1:29

Style matchupIvana Petrovic: WrestlervsLiang Na: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Ivana Petrovic wins(68.5%)

Actual result: Ivana Petrovic wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ivana Petrovic at -440 American odds

+$23 profit

$123 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ivana Petrovic enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Ivana Petrovic threatens submissions; Liang Na has lost 33% of fights by sub.
Ivana Petrovic has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Ivana Petrovic has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Ivana Petrovic (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Ivana Petrovic

Red Corner

Liang Na

Blue Corner

-440

(81%)

Vegas Odds

—

1486

Elo

1486

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'5"

177.8 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ivana PetrovicL3 streak

oldest →

vs Luana Carolina · Jul 23

vs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Nov 24

vs Juliana Miller · May 25

latest

Liang NaL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Silvana Gomez Juarez · Jun 22

KOvs JJ Aldrich · Aug 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ivana PetrovicMetricLiang Na

1.91

Strikes / min

1.99

2.05

Strikes absorbed / min

3.95

56%

Strike defense

36%

2.12

TDs / 15 min

3.60

61%

Takedown defense

25%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.14Δ 1.82 — meaningful gap-1.96

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ivana PetrovicLiang Na

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ivana Petrovic(4 fights)Liang Na(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +56.0|Blue -56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ivana PetrovicTargetLiang Na

By target zone

44% acc · 78%

Head

24% acc · 33%

80% acc · 22%

Body

91% acc · 42%

Leg

86% acc · 25%

By position

24% acc · 22%

Distance

48% acc · 96%

50% acc · 6%

Clinch

25% acc · 4%

72% acc · 72%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ivana Petrovic rounds

even

Liang Na rounds

Round 1Liang Na edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns1

Control0:58

11Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:15Control

Round 2Ivana Petrovic edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns1

Control3:25

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:36Control

Round 3Ivana Petrovic edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns1

Control1:14

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

36 / 73

Sig Strikes

24 / 52

41.3%

Sig Str %

42.3%

101 / 150

Total Strikes

49 / 89

3 / 4

TDs

1 / 2

83.3%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

5:37

Ctrl Time

2:51

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Liang Na	11 / 21	28 / 49	1 / 2	0
1	Ivana Petrovic	4 / 10	29 / 38	1 / 1	0
2	Liang Na	12 / 28	18 / 35	0 / 0	0
2	Ivana Petrovic	31 / 60	67 / 105	1 / 2	0
3	Liang Na	1 / 3	3 / 5	0 / 0	0
3	Ivana Petrovic	1 / 3	5 / 7	1 / 1	1

Ivana Petrovic

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4

Liang Na

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights3