Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Mike Easton won · U-DEC R3

Elo1353

Ivan MenjivarvsMike EastonUFC Prediction Result

UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · Saturday, July 7, 2012Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Mike Easton won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Mike Easton wins(59.6%)

Actual result: Mike Easton wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mike Easton at +105 American odds

+$105 profit

$205 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ivan Menjivar enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Mike Easton enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Mike Easton has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Mike Easton (53.5%).
Mike Easton has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ivan Menjivar

Red Corner

Mike Easton

Blue Corner

-115

(53%)

Vegas Odds

+105

(49%)

1353

Elo

1353

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'6"

Height

5'6"

162.56 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ivan MenjivarL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs John Albert · Feb 12

SUBvs Azamat Gashimov · Nov 12

SUBvs Urijah Faber · Feb 13

vs Wilson Reis · Sep 13

vs Hatsu Hioki · Mar 14

latest

Mike EastonL4 streak

oldest →

vs Jared Papazian · Jan 12

vs Raphael Assuncao · Dec 12

vs Brad Pickett · Apr 13

vs TJ Dillashaw · Jan 14

vs Yves Jabouin · Jun 14

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ivan MenjivarMetricMike Easton

2.78

Strikes / min

3.51

2.76

Strikes absorbed / min

4.28

65%

Strike defense

61%

0.56

TDs / 15 min

0.75

38%

Takedown defense

66%

1.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.02evenly matched on net striking-0.77

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ivan MenjivarMike Easton

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ivan Menjivar(8 fights)Mike Easton(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -26.0|Blue +26.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ivan MenjivarTargetMike Easton

By target zone

10% acc · 25%

Head

12% acc · 30%

58% acc · 38%

Body

43% acc · 26%

63% acc · 38%

Leg

80% acc · 43%

By position

26% acc · 95%

Distance

26% acc · 93%

67% acc · 5%

Clinch

100% acc · 4%

Ground

50% acc · 2%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ivan Menjivar rounds

even

Mike Easton rounds

Round 1Mike Easton edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:00

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Round 2Ivan Menjivar edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:00

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Mike Easton edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:45Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

40 / 148

Sig Strikes

46 / 169

26.3%

Sig Str %

27%

42 / 150

Total Strikes

55 / 178

0 / 1

TDs

1 / 2

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:48

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Mike Easton	14 / 44	14 / 44	0 / 1
1	Ivan Menjivar	9 / 42	9 / 42	0 / 0
2	Mike Easton	12 / 57	12 / 57	0 / 0
2	Ivan Menjivar	17 / 56	18 / 57	0 / 0
3	Mike Easton	20 / 68	29 / 77	1 / 1
3	Ivan Menjivar	14 / 50	15 / 51	0 / 1

Ivan Menjivar

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights8

Mike Easton

StanceSouthpaw

Height66.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights7