Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Iuri Alcantara won · S-DEC R3

Elo1491

Iuri AlcantaravsWilson ReisUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · Saturday, February 15, 2014Jaragua do Sul, Santa Catarina, Brazil

Official fight result

Iuri Alcantara won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupIuri Alcantara: Well-roundedvsWilson Reis: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Wilson Reis wins(60.3%)

Actual result: Iuri Alcantara wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Wilson Reis at +195 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Iuri Alcantara has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Iuri Alcantara

Red Corner

Wilson Reis

Blue Corner

-215

(68%)

Vegas Odds

+195

(34%)

1491

Elo

1491

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'9"

Height

5'4"

180.34 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Iuri Alcantara

oldest →

SUBvs Luke Sanders · Mar 17

SUBvs Brian Kelleher · Jun 17

vs Alejandro Perez · Dec 17

KOvs Joe Soto · Feb 18

KOvs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 18

latest

Wilson Reis

oldest →

SUBvs Demetrious Johnson · Apr 17

KOvs Henry Cejudo · Sep 17

vs John Moraga · Apr 18

vs Ben Nguyen · Dec 18

KOvs Alexandre Pantoja · Apr 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Iuri AlcantaraMetricWilson Reis

2.72

Strikes / min

1.83

2.79

Strikes absorbed / min

3.04

49%

Strike defense

55%

1.44

TDs / 15 min

5.15

60%

Takedown defense

47%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.07Δ 1.14 — meaningful gap-1.21

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Iuri AlcantaraWilson Reis

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Iuri Alcantara(10 fights)Wilson Reis(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Recent Form

Red -1.1|Blue +1.1

Striker Score

Red +1.6|Blue -1.6

Grappler Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Layoff

Red +35.0|Blue -35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Iuri AlcantaraTargetWilson Reis

By target zone

55% acc · 90%

Head

34% acc · 70%

67% acc · 5%

Body

50% acc · 5%

Leg

50% acc · 30%

By position

44% acc · 36%

Distance

24% acc · 39%

60% acc · 7%

Clinch

75% acc · 13%

65% acc · 57%

Ground

58% acc · 48%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Iuri Alcantara rounds

even

Wilson Reis rounds

Round 1Iuri Alcantara edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control1:18

8Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:39Control

Round 2Iuri Alcantara edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control1:39

Knockdowns1

11Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:44Control

0Knockdowns

Round 3Iuri Alcantara edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control0:46

4Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:22Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

42 / 76

Sig Strikes

23 / 61

55%

Sig Str %

37.3%

84 / 128

Total Strikes

66 / 110

2 / 3

TDs

3 / 7

75%

TD %

58.3%

Sub Att

Rev

3:43

Ctrl Time

6:45

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Wilson Reis	8 / 25	9 / 26	1 / 4
1	Iuri Alcantara	13 / 24	27 / 39	1 / 2
2	Wilson Reis	11 / 20	24 / 36	1 / 1
2	Iuri Alcantara	16 / 28	32 / 49	0 / 0
3	Wilson Reis	4 / 16	33 / 48	1 / 2
3	Iuri Alcantara	13 / 24	25 / 40	1 / 1

Iuri Alcantara

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights17

Wilson Reis

StanceSouthpaw

Height64.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights13