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Middleweight
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Elo1512
Elo1469

Ismail NaurdievvsMarvin VettoriUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · Saturday, June 27, 2026Baku, Azerbaijan

Fight begins in
Style matchupIsmail Naurdiev: Elusive strikervsMarvin Vettori: Pressure fighter

The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.

The model's pick for this fight is locked

Ismail Naurdiev vs Marvin Vettori is on the undercard. Headliner picks are free — unlock the full card with a $9 monthly Fight Detective membership.

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Marvin Vettori enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Ismail Naurdiev
Red Corner
VS
Marvin Vettori
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1512
Elo
1469
30
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ismail Naurdiev
oldest →
W
vs Siyar Bahadurzada · Sep 19
L
vs Sean Brady · Feb 20
W
vs Bruno Silva · Oct 24
L
vs JunYong Park · Jun 25
W
KOvs Ryan Loder · Nov 25
latest
Marvin VettoriL4 streak
oldest →
W
vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 23
L
vs Jared Cannonier · Jun 23
L
vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 25
L
vs Brendan Allen · Jul 25
L
vs Brunno Ferreira · Dec 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ismail NaurdievMetricMarvin Vettori
3.66
Strikes / min
4.74
1.75
Strikes absorbed / min
4.55
64%
Strike defense
56%
1.48
TDs / 15 min
1.41
73%
Takedown defense
68%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.91Δ 1.72 — meaningful gap+0.19
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14501470149015101530← oldermost recent →
Ismail Naurdiev(7 fights)Marvin Vettori(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +43.3|Blue -43.3
Recent Form
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Striker Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red +14.0|Blue -14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.

KO / TKO53%

Historical win share: Ismail Naurdiev earned 25% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission47%

Historical win share: Marvin Vettori earned 22% of wins by submission.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Ismail Naurdiev

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights7

Marvin Vettori

StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights17