Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marvin Vettori enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ismail Naurdiev
oldest →W
vs Siyar Bahadurzada · Sep 19L
vs JunYong Park · Jun 25W
KOvs Ryan Loder · Nov 25 Marvin VettoriL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 23L
vs Jared Cannonier · Jun 23L
vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 25L
vs Brendan Allen · Jul 25L
vs Brunno Ferreira · Dec 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ismail NaurdievMetricMarvin Vettori
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.91Δ 1.72 — meaningful gap+0.19
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ismail Naurdiev(7 fights)Marvin Vettori(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +45.4|Blue -45.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +14.0|Blue -14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Method Projection
Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.
Historical win share: Ismail Naurdiev earned 25% of wins by KO/TKO.
Historical win share: Marvin Vettori earned 22% of wins by submission.
Both fighters frequently end fights early.
