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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Nazim Sadykhov won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1449

Elo1501

Ismael BonfimvsNazim SadykhovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · Saturday, February 15, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Nazim Sadykhov won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 5:00

Style matchupIsmael Bonfim: Pressure fightervsNazim Sadykhov: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Nazim Sadykhov wins(51.4%)

Actual result: Nazim Sadykhov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nazim Sadykhov at +200 American odds

+$200 profit

$300 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ismael Bonfim is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Nazim Sadykhov has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Nazim Sadykhov is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Ismael Bonfim has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Ismael Bonfim has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Nazim Sadykhov (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Ismael Bonfim

Red Corner

Nazim Sadykhov

Blue Corner

-245

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+200

(33%)

1449

Elo

1501

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'8"

Height

5'10"

180.34 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ismael BonfimL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Terrance McKinney · Jan 23

SUBvs Benoit Saint Denis · Jul 23

vs Vinc Pichel · May 24

KOvs Chris Padilla · Nov 25

SUBvs Axel Sola · Jul 26

latest

Nazim SadykhovL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Evan Elder · Feb 23

SUBvs Terrance McKinney · Jul 23

KOvs Nikolas Motta · Jun 25

KOvs Fares Ziam · Dec 25

KOvs Matheus Camilo · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ismael BonfimMetricNazim Sadykhov

5.51

Strikes / min

4.79

3.71

Strikes absorbed / min

5.49

65%

Strike defense

49%

1.06

TDs / 15 min

1.10

76%

Takedown defense

72%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.80Δ 2.50 — meaningful gap-0.70

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ismael BonfimNazim Sadykhov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ismael Bonfim(6 fights)Nazim Sadykhov(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -52.7|Blue +52.7

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -294.0|Blue +294.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ismael BonfimTargetNazim Sadykhov

By target zone

48% acc · 54%

Head

26% acc · 69%

100% acc · 19%

Body

29% acc · 15%

88% acc · 27%

Leg

50% acc · 15%

By position

62% acc · 92%

Distance

27% acc · 92%

67% acc · 8%

Clinch

50% acc · 8%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ismael Bonfim rounds

even

Nazim Sadykhov rounds

Round 1Ismael Bonfim edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:00

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:35Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

26 / 42

Sig Strikes

13 / 46

61%

Sig Str %

28%

26 / 43

Total Strikes

14 / 49

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:35

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Nazim Sadykhov	13 / 46	14 / 49	0 / 0	0
1	Ismael Bonfim	26 / 42	26 / 43	0 / 0	0

Ismael Bonfim

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights6

Nazim Sadykhov

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights6