Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ismael Bonfim enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Ismael Bonfim is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Benoit Saint Denis has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Benoit Saint Denis is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Ismael Bonfim has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Benoit Saint Denis threatens submissions; Ismael Bonfim has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Ismael Bonfim has 23pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Benoit Saint Denis (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ismael BonfimL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Terrance McKinney · Jan 23L
KOvs Nazim Sadykhov · Feb 25L
KOvs Chris Padilla · Nov 25L
SUBvs Axel Sola · Jul 26 Benoit Saint Denis
oldest →W
SUBvs Kyle Prepolec · May 25W
SUBvs Mauricio Ruffy · Sep 25W
KOvs Beneil Dariush · Nov 25W
KOvs Dan Hooker · Jan 26L
SUBvs Paddy Pimblett · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ismael BonfimMetricBenoit Saint Denis
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.80evenly matched on net striking+1.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ismael BonfimBenoit Saint Denis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ismael Bonfim(6 fights)Benoit Saint Denis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -97.4|Blue +97.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -140.0|Blue +140.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ismael BonfimTargetBenoit Saint Denis
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Benoit Saint Denis rounds
Round 1Benoit Saint Denis edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:10
13Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:57Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
