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Catch Weight
5 Rounds
Islam Makhachev won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1544
Islam Makhachev editorial illustration
Elo1445

Islam MakhachevvsBobby GreenUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · Saturday, February 26, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Islam Makhachev won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:23

Model Prediction: Islam Makhachev wins(80.0%)

Actual result: Islam Makhachev wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Islam Makhachev at -760 American odds

+$13 profit

$113 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Islam Makhachev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Islam Makhachev (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Islam Makhachev
Red Corner
VS
Bobby Green
Blue Corner
-760
(88%)
Vegas Odds
+525
(16%)
1544
Elo
1445
34
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Islam MakhachevW5 streak
oldest →
W
vs Alexander Volkanovski · Feb 23
W
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Oct 23
W
SUBvs Dustin Poirier · Jun 24
W
SUBvs Renato Moicano · Jan 25
W
vs Jack Della Maddalena · Nov 25
latest
Bobby Green
oldest →
L
vs Thiago Moises · Oct 20
L
vs Rafael Fiziev · Aug 21
W
KOvs Al Iaquinta · Nov 21
W
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Feb 22
L
KOvs Drew Dober · Dec 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Islam MakhachevMetricBobby Green
2.45
Strikes / min
—
1.45
Strikes absorbed / min
—
61%
Strike defense
—
3.10
TDs / 15 min
—
91%
Takedown defense
—
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1659 vs 1560Strikes2.6 vs 6.4Takedowns3.2 vs 1.2Sub Atts1.10 vs 0.30Form1.0 vs 0.4
Islam MakhachevBobby Green

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801500152015401560← oldermost recent →
Islam Makhachev(10 fights)Bobby Green(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +98.3|Blue -98.3
Recent Form
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red +105.0|Blue -105.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Islam Makhachev

StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights18

Bobby Green

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9