← All fights/Event page

Lightweight

3 Rounds

Elias Silverio won · U-DEC R3

Elo1354

Elo1355

Isaac Vallie-FlaggvsElias SilverioUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · Wednesday, January 15, 2014Duluth, Georgia, USA

Official fight result

Elias Silverio won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupIsaac Vallie-Flagg: Pressure fightervsElias Silverio: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Isaac Vallie-Flagg wins(50.4%)

Actual result: Elias Silverio wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Isaac Vallie-Flagg at +165 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Elias Silverio has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Isaac Vallie-Flagg

Red Corner

Elias Silverio

Blue Corner

+165

(38%)

Vegas Odds

-175

(64%)

1354

Elo

1355

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'11"

177.8 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Isaac Vallie-FlaggL2 streak

oldest →

vs Yves Edwards · Feb 13

vs Takanori Gomi · Apr 14

vs Matt Wiman · Nov 14

latest

Elias SilverioL2 streak

oldest →

vs Joao Zeferino · Sep 13

SUBvs Ernest Chavez · May 14

KOvs Rashid Magomedov · Dec 14

vs Shane Campbell · Aug 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Isaac Vallie-FlaggMetricElias Silverio

5.56

Strikes / min

3.67

5.60

Strikes absorbed / min

2.97

45%

Strike defense

51%

0.20

TDs / 15 min

1.62

58%

Takedown defense

85%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.04evenly matched on net striking+0.70

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Isaac Vallie-FlaggElias Silverio

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Isaac Vallie-Flagg(4 fights)Elias Silverio(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -1.3|Blue +1.3

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +214.0|Blue -214.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Isaac Vallie-FlaggTargetElias Silverio

By target zone

27% acc · 62%

Head

52% acc · 64%

50% acc · 10%

Body

88% acc · 26%

86% acc · 29%

Leg

89% acc · 10%

By position

28% acc · 67%

Distance

49% acc · 48%

75% acc · 29%

Clinch

88% acc · 26%

100% acc · 5%

Ground

70% acc · 26%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Isaac Vallie-Flagg rounds

even

Elias Silverio rounds

Round 1Elias Silverio edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

39Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:12Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Elias Silverio edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:40Control

Round 3Elias Silverio edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns0

Control0:00

24Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:27Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

21 / 59

Sig Strikes

81 / 133

25.3%

Sig Str %

60%

37 / 75

Total Strikes

136 / 199

0 / 1

TDs

4 / 4

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

11:19

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Elias Silverio	39 / 58	52 / 75	1 / 1
1	Isaac Vallie-Flagg	11 / 33	14 / 36	0 / 0
2	Elias Silverio	18 / 41	42 / 68	2 / 2
2	Isaac Vallie-Flagg	10 / 23	16 / 29	0 / 0
3	Elias Silverio	24 / 34	42 / 56	1 / 1
3	Isaac Vallie-Flagg	0 / 3	7 / 10	0 / 1

Isaac Vallie-Flagg

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4

Elias Silverio

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights5