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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Yadier del Valle won · SUB R1

Elo1490

Elo1513

Isaac DulgarianvsYadier del ValleUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · Saturday, November 1, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Yadier del Valle won

SUB · Round 1 · 3:41

Style matchupIsaac Dulgarian: WrestlervsYadier del Valle: Submission grappler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Yadier del Valle wins(50.6%)

Actual result: Yadier del Valle wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Yadier del Valle at +124 American odds

+$124 profit

$224 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Yadier del Valle threatens submissions; Isaac Dulgarian has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Yadier del Valle has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Yadier del Valle has 58pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Yadier del Valle (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Isaac Dulgarian

Red Corner

Yadier del Valle

Blue Corner

-146

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+124

(45%)

1490

Elo

1513

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'7"

Height

5'9"

180.34 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Isaac Dulgarian

oldest →

KOvs Francis Marshall · Aug 23

vs Christian Rodriguez · Mar 24

SUBvs Brendon Marotte · Sep 24

latest

Yadier del Valle

oldest →

SUBvs Connor Matthews · May 25

vs Jordan Leavitt · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Isaac DulgarianMetricYadier del Valle

2.99

Strikes / min

4.05

1.65

Strikes absorbed / min

2.16

40%

Strike defense

55%

4.57

TDs / 15 min

1.23

Takedown defense

58%

1.80

Sub atts / 15 min

2.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.34evenly matched on net striking+1.89

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Isaac DulgarianYadier del Valle

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Isaac Dulgarian(4 fights)Yadier del Valle(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -22.6|Blue +22.6

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red +252.0|Blue -252.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Isaac DulgarianTargetYadier del Valle

By target zone

0% acc

Head

Body

Leg

100% acc · 100%

By position

0% acc

Distance

100% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Isaac Dulgarian rounds

even

Yadier del Valle rounds

Round 1Yadier del Valle edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns0

Control0:16

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:56Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0 / 1

Sig Strikes

1 / 1

Sig Str %

100%

3 / 6

Total Strikes

28 / 43

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:16

Ctrl Time

2:56

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Yadier del Valle	1 / 1	28 / 43	0 / 0	3
1	Isaac Dulgarian	0 / 1	3 / 6	0 / 1	0

Isaac Dulgarian

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights4

Yadier del Valle

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights3