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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Irwin Rivera won · Decision R3
Elo1493
Irwin Rivera
Elo1492

Irwin RiveravsAli QaisiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · Saturday, August 8, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Irwin Rivera won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Irwin Rivera wins(56.2%)

Actual result: Irwin Rivera wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Irwin Rivera at -186 American odds

+$54 profit

$154 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Irwin Rivera (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Irwin Rivera
Red Corner
VS
Ali Qaisi
Blue Corner
-186
(65%)
Vegas Odds
+148
(40%)
1493
Elo
1492
37
Age
29
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'8"
170.18 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Irwin RiveraL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Giga Chikadze · May 20
L
vs Andre Ewell · Sep 20
latest
Ali QaisiNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Irwin RiveraMetricAli Qaisi
3.36
Strikes / min
—
5.07
Strikes absorbed / min
—
57%
Strike defense
—
1.00
TDs / 15 min
—
70%
Takedown defense
—
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1485 vs 1500Strikes2.3 vs 0.0Takedowns0.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-1.0 vs 0.0
Irwin RiveraAli Qaisi

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Irwin Rivera(3 fights)Ali Qaisi(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Recent Form
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Irwin Rivera

StanceSouthpaw
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights3

Ali Qaisi

No profile data.