Skip to content
Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Klaudia Sygula won · U-DEC R3
Elo1466
Irina Alekseeva
Elo1522

Irina AlekseevavsKlaudia SygulaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · Saturday, June 21, 2025Baku, Azerbaijan

Official fight result

Klaudia Sygula won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Klaudia Sygula wins(64.4%)

Actual result: Klaudia Sygula wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Klaudia Sygula at +200 American odds

+$200 profit

$300 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Klaudia Sygula has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Irina Alekseeva
Red Corner
VS
Klaudia Sygula
Blue Corner
-245
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+200
(33%)
1466
Elo
1522
36
Age
27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'8"
170.18 cm
Reach
175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Irina AlekseevaL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Stephanie Egger · Apr 23
L
vs Melissa Mullins · Oct 23
L
SUBvs Bia Mesquita · Oct 25
latest
Klaudia Sygula
oldest →
L
KOvs Melissa Mullins · Nov 24
W
vs Priscila Cachoeira · Feb 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Irina AlekseevaMetricKlaudia Sygula
3.42
Strikes / min
7.27
5.02
Strikes absorbed / min
5.50
45%
Strike defense
56%
0.38
TDs / 15 min
0.41
50%
Takedown defense
40%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.60Δ 3.37 — meaningful gap+1.77

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1484Strikes3.4 vs 7.3Takedowns0.4 vs 0.4Sub Atts0.40 vs 0.00Form-0.2 vs -1.0
Irina AlekseevaKlaudia Sygula

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14501473149515181540← oldermost recent →
Irina Alekseeva(4 fights)Klaudia Sygula(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -56.3|Blue +56.3
Recent Form
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red +392.0|Blue -392.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Irina AlekseevaTargetKlaudia Sygula

By target zone

35
29% acc · 56%
Head
63
47% acc · 62%
16
52% acc · 25%
Body
21
70% acc · 21%
12
46% acc · 19%
Leg
17
94% acc · 17%

By position

58
34% acc · 92%
Distance
93
54% acc · 92%
5
63% acc · 8%
Clinch
5
83% acc · 5%
0
Ground
3
75% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Irina Alekseeva rounds
0
even
3
Klaudia Sygula rounds
Round 1Klaudia Sygula edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns0
Control0:00
53Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Klaudia Sygula edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Klaudia Sygula edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control1:43
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:15Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
63 / 178
Sig Strikes
101 / 181
40.3%
Sig Str %
55%
74 / 200
Total Strikes
156 / 248
0 / 0
TDs
1 / 2
TD %
50%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:43
Ctrl Time
2:15

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Klaudia Sygula53 / 8553 / 850 / 00
1Irina Alekseeva35 / 9235 / 920 / 00
2Klaudia Sygula29 / 6329 / 630 / 10
2Irina Alekseeva19 / 7019 / 700 / 00
3Klaudia Sygula19 / 3374 / 1001 / 10
3Irina Alekseeva9 / 1620 / 380 / 00

Irina Alekseeva

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4

Klaudia Sygula

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights3