Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Irene Aldana won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1499
Irene Aldana
Elo1494
Yana Kunitskaya

Irene AldanavsYana KunitskayaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · Saturday, July 10, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Irene Aldana won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:35

Model Prediction: Yana Kunitskaya wins(61.9%)

Actual result: Irene Aldana wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Yana Kunitskaya at -115 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Irene Aldana
Red Corner
VS
Yana Kunitskaya
Blue Corner
-107
(52%)
Vegas Odds
-115
(53%)
1499
Elo
1494
38
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'6"
172.72 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Irene Aldana
oldest →
L
vs Holly Holm · Oct 20
W
KOvs Macy Chiasson · Sep 22
L
vs Amanda Nunes · Jun 23
W
vs Karol Rosa · Dec 23
L
vs Norma Dumont · Sep 24
latest
Yana KunitskayaW2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Lina Lansberg · Oct 18
W
vs Marion Reneau · Mar 19
L
KOvs Aspen Ladd · Dec 19
W
DECvs Julija Stoliarenko · Aug 20
W
vs Ketlen Vieira · Feb 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Irene AldanaMetricYana Kunitskaya
5.19
Strikes / min
—
6.64
Strikes absorbed / min
—
56%
Strike defense
—
0.15
TDs / 15 min
—
77%
Takedown defense
—
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1521 vs 1538Strikes5.6 vs 4.3Takedowns0.2 vs 1.5Sub Atts0.10 vs 0.20Form-0.1 vs 0.7
Irene AldanaYana Kunitskaya

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Irene Aldana(10 fights)Yana Kunitskaya(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +5.2|Blue -5.2
Recent Form
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score
Red +2.1|Blue -2.1
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red +140.0|Blue -140.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Irene Aldana

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights14

Yana Kunitskaya

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights1