Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Irene Aldana
oldest →W
KOvs Yana Kunitskaya · Jul 21W
KOvs Macy Chiasson · Sep 22L
vs Amanda Nunes · Jun 23L
vs Norma Dumont · Sep 24 Vanessa Melo
oldest →L
vs Tracy Cortez · Nov 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Irene AldanaMetricVanessa Melo
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.45Δ 1.20 — meaningful gap-2.65
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Irene AldanaVanessa Melo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Irene Aldana(10 fights)Vanessa Melo(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +6.1|Blue -6.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -45.9|Blue +45.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Irene AldanaTargetVanessa Melo
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Irene Aldana edged it
Sig. strikes45
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Irene Aldana edged it
Sig. strikes36
Takedowns0
Control0:00
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Irene Aldana edged it
Sig. strikes44
Takedowns0
Control0:00
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:13Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
